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New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction for the Major League Soccer on 24 Oct 2026: Inter Miami or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
New York Red BullsNo recent gamesInter MiamiNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison

Match events

New York Red BullsInter Miami
  1. Own goal: Carlos Henrique Casimiro (og)7'

HT 1-0

  1. 56'Substitution: Lionel MessiOff: Riquelme Fillipi
  2. Substitution: Cade CowellOff: Cameron Harper64'
  3. 66'Substitution: Matías GalarzaOff: Santiago Morales
  4. 66'Substitution: Gonzalo LujanOff: Ian Fray
  5. 74'Substitution: Germán BerterameOff: Telasco Segovia
  6. 74'Substitution: David AyalaOff: Yannick Bright
  7. Substitution: Jorge RuvalcabaOff: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting76'
  8. Substitution: Mohammed SofoOff: Sekou Kone76'
  9. Yellow card: Julian BazanTime Wasting80'
  10. Substitution: Adri MehmetiOff: Emil Forsberg85'
  11. Substitution: Julian HallOff: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty85'
  12. Goal: Emil ForsbergAssist: Cameron Harper90+1'
  13. 90+4'Yellow card: Santiago MoralesFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Inter Miami or draw

Bet365 1.28

74%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.9

Win probability

1 · New York Red Bulls26%
Fair odds 3.85
X · Draw20%
Fair odds 5.00
2 · Inter Miami54%
Fair odds 1.85

Match statistics

  • 34%Possession66%
  • 3.31Expected goals (xG)0.84
  • 19Total shots12
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 8Shots off target7
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 13Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners2
  • 3Offsides2
  • 13Fouls5
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 352Passes714
  • 287Accurate passes616

Line-ups

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 34E. HorvathG
  2. 12D. NealisD
  3. 26T. ParkerD
  4. 14J. BazánD
  5. 59D. PadelfordD
  6. 48R. DonkorM
  7. 15A. MehmetiM
  8. 37M. SofoM
  9. 7C. CowellF
  10. 16J. HallF
  11. 11J. RuvalcabaF

Substitutes

  1. 13E. Choupo-MotingF
  2. 10E. ForsbergM
  3. 17C. HarperF
  4. 60S. KoneM
  5. 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
  6. 77J. McCarthyG
  7. 79R. MosqueraF
  8. 8D. RuízM
  9. 56M. Dos SantosD

Coach: Michael Bradley

Inter Miami

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 97D. St. ClairG
  2. 2G. LujánD
  3. 5CasemiroD
  4. 16MicaelD
  5. 3ReguilónD
  6. 7R. De PaulM
  7. 22D. AyalaM
  8. 80M. GalarzaM
  9. 11Riquelme FillipiF
  10. 9L. SuárezF
  11. 19G. BerterameF

Substitutes

  1. 88A. ShawM
  2. 8T. SegoviaM
  3. 34R. Ríos NovoG
  4. 56Daniel PinterF
  5. 4F. MuraD
  6. 20S. MoralesM
  7. 10L. MessiF
  8. 17I. FrayD
  9. 42Y. BrightM

Coach: Kily González

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 2.33
0.5 goalsOver98.1%Under1.9%
1.5 goalsOver90.4%Under9.6%
2.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
3.5 goalsOver55.5%Under44.5%
4.5 goalsOver35.9%Under64.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

New York Red BullsInter Miami
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
41%Expected goals59%
33%Overall67%

Last matches

Newest first
New York Red Bulls0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Inter Miami0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Major League Soccer table

Major League Soccer table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
1Nashville SC33+4474
2FC Dallas33+955
2Inter Miami33+2159
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
3New England Revolution33+958
4St. Louis City33+1051
4Chicago Fire33+1155
5Houston Dynamo33+151
5Charlotte33+1553
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
6Philadelphia Union33+1147
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
7FC Cincinnati33-646
8Portland Timbers33-143
8Columbus Crew33+644
9Colorado Rapids33-143
9Orlando City SC33-1643
10Seattle Sounders33-343
10New York Red Bulls33-1739
11Real Salt Lake33042
11New York City FC33+339
12Minnesota United FC33-441
12Toronto FC33-1239
13San Diego33-538
13Atlanta United FC33-1433
14Austin33-2134
14DC United33-2133
15Sporting Kansas City33-4223
15CF Montreal33-3026
See full table ›

Top scorers

Major League Soccer top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. MessiInter Miami3026
2P. MusaFC Dallas2922
3B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps3120
4S. SurridgeNashville SC2719
5Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City3319

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNew York Red BullsInter Miami
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

New York Red Bulls host Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Inter Miami favourites, giving New York Red Bulls a 26% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 54% for Inter Miami. Our tip is: Inter Miami or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 and a 73% chance that both teams score.

Competition
USA Major League Soccer
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami in?

The match is in the USA Major League Soccer.

Where are New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami in the table?

New York Red Bulls are 10th and Inter Miami are 2nd in the Major League Soccer.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Our prediction is Inter Miami or draw. Win probabilities: New York Red Bulls 26%, draw 20%, Inter Miami 54%.

Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

We estimate a 73% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

We estimate a 75% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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