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Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction for the First League on 24 Oct 2026: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
First League · Regular Season - 12
Lokomotiv SofiaNo recent gamesBotev VratsaNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-1
Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia

Match events

Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
  1. Yellow card: Krasimir Stanoev29'
  2. 42'Goal: Jose Gallegos

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Erol DostOff: Adil Taoui46'
  2. Substitution: Nicholas PenevOff: Dimitar Kostadinov46'
  3. Goal: Ante AralicaAssist: Spas Delev55'
  4. 60'Yellow card: Iliya Yurukov
  5. Yellow card: Kaloyan Kostov66'
  6. 73'Yellow card: Vladislav Naydenov
  7. 74'Substitution: Vladislav NaydenovOff: Kassim Hadji
  8. Substitution: Mohamed MedfaiOff: Ivan Yordanov74'
  9. 75'Substitution: Jose GallegosOff: Martin Smolenski
  10. 84'Substitution: Martin Detelinov PetkovOff: Filip gigov
  11. 84'Substitution: Sainey SanyangOff: Martin·Achkov
  12. Substitution: Ante AralicaOff: Joyce Kati Katulondi86'
  13. Substitution: Kaloyan KostovOff: Bozhidar Katsarov86'
  14. Yellow card: Ryan Bidounga88'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Lokomotiv Sofia or draw

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Lokomotiv Sofia51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Botev Vratsa23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 56%Possession44%
  • 4Total shots9
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 0Shots off target6
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 5Corners3
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Lokomotiv Sofia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 99M. VelichkovG
  2. 14A. LyaskovD
  3. 6EirôD
  4. 3K. KostovD
  5. 91R. BidoungaD
  6. 5E. DostM
  7. 31K. StanoevM
  8. 29A. AralicaF
  9. 16M. MedfaiM
  10. 71N. PenevF
  11. 7S. DelevF

Substitutes

  1. 8I. YordanovM
  2. 11A. TaouiF
  3. 20D. KostadinovM
  4. 18Joyce Kati KatulondiF
  5. 44B. KatsarovM
  6. 24A. LyubenovG
  7. 26K. MiloshevM
  8. 9G. MinchevF
  9. 23O. OdukoD
  10. 17M. PapazovF
  11. 22R. DaskalovD

Coach: L. Penev

Botev Vratsa

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 94M. OrlinovG
  2. 25A. BuchkovD
  3. 4I. GoranovF
  4. 21M. DimitrovD
  5. 36M. StoevD
  6. 3S. SanyangD
  7. 12I. YurukovM
  8. 10J. GallegosM
  9. 7R. TsonevM
  10. 79M. PetkovF
  11. 97V. NaydenovF

Substitutes

  1. 98L. VasilevG
  2. 8A. StoyanovM
  3. 17S. MechevF
  4. 6A. KichukovM
  5. 90F. GigovF
  6. 9D. GenovD
  7. 88L. BoyanovD
  8. 11M. AchkovD
  9. 24M. SmolenskiM

Coach: Todor Simov

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver92.9%Under7.1%
1.5 goalsOver74.2%Under25.8%
2.5 goalsOver49.4%Under50.6%
3.5 goalsOver27.5%Under72.5%
4.5 goalsOver13.0%Under87.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Lokomotiv Sofia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Botev Vratsa0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

First League table

First League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1CSKA 19481+43
2Cherno More Varna1+23
3CSKA Sofia1+23
4Dunav Ruse1+23
5Arda Kardzhali101
6Botev Vratsa101
7Levski Sofia101
8Lokomotiv Sofia101
9Lokomotiv Plovdiv101
10Slavia Sofia101
11Ludogorets1-20
12Septemvri Sofia1-20
13Spartak Varna1-20
14Botev Plovdiv1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Lokomotiv Sofia host Botev Vratsa in the First League (Regular Season - 12) at Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lokomotiv Sofia favourites, giving Lokomotiv Sofia a 51% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 23% for Botev Vratsa. Our tip is: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Bulgaria First League
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
Venue
Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa in?

The match is in the Bulgaria First League.

Where are Lokomotiv Sofia and Botev Vratsa in the table?

Lokomotiv Sofia are 8th and Botev Vratsa are 6th in the First League.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Our prediction is Lokomotiv Sofia or draw. Win probabilities: Lokomotiv Sofia 51%, draw 26%, Botev Vratsa 23%.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More First League on Sat 24 Oct

FTDunav Ruse 2-0 Spartak VarnaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today