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Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction

Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction for the First League on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
First League · Regular Season - 12
Dunav RuseNo recent gamesSpartak Varna
2 - 0Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
Gradski Stadium, Ruse

Match events

Dunav RuseSpartak Varna
  1. Goal: Alexander Valiño NavasalAssist: Radoslav Apostolov17'
  2. 33'Yellow card: angel gomes
  3. 35'Yellow card: Sámuel Major

HT 1-0

  1. 46'Substitution: Joao LopesOff: Boubacar Hanne
  2. 46'Substitution: anton ivanovOff: boris ivanov
  3. Yellow card: Alexander Valiño Navasal60'
  4. Substitution: jordan louis saintOff: Elisee Sou70'
  5. Goal: Radoslav Apostolov76'
  6. 78'Substitution: Deyan LozevOff: David Valverde
  7. 78'Substitution: angel gomesOff: Tsvetelin Chunchukov
  8. 78'Substitution: ricardo sousaOff: mikhailov tsvetoslav marinov
  9. Yellow card: Kristiyan Boychev79'
  10. Substitution: Kristiyan BoychevOff: Vladan Vidaković88'
  11. Substitution: Alexander Valiño NavasalOff: Ibrahim Keita88'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.33

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Dunav Ruse39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Spartak Varna33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 41%Possession59%
  • 9Total shots11
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 3Shots off target8
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 5Corners7
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Dunav Ruse

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33G. KitanovG
  2. 39Andre AlvesD
  3. 88D. TodorovD
  4. 51I. BudinovD
  5. 4J. CabarcasD
  6. 5K. AntoniouD
  7. 10K. BoychevM
  8. 14R. ApostolovM
  9. 17N. FonkeuM
  10. 9Álex ValiñoF
  11. 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM

Substitutes

  1. 93B. ChorbadzhiyskiD
  2. 2M. DilchovskiD
  3. 24S. GavrilovM
  4. 18I. KeïtaF
  5. 77A. SimeonovF
  6. 78Elisee SouM
  7. 19S. StefanovM
  8. 44V. VidakovićM
  9. 6S. YovkovD
  10. 1B. ŻelazowskiG

Coach: G. Chilikov

Spartak Varna

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 23P. IlievG
  2. 44A. GranchovD
  3. 76David ValverdeD
  4. 5D. KrastevD
  5. 29Z. TindanoD
  6. 6José Ricardo Gomes SousaM
  7. 19S. MajorM
  8. 77A. IvanovF
  9. 11Boubacar HanneF
  10. 90C. OkohF
  11. 10J. LopesF

Substitutes

  1. 45J. TshitokuD
  2. 16Edson SilvaM
  3. 14Daniel PavlovM
  4. 72Vasco OliveiraD
  5. 20D. LozevD
  6. 4B. IvanovD
  7. 9T. ChunchukovF
  8. 7BuaM
  9. 1Pedro VictorG

Coach: V. Petrov

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.18
0.5 goalsOver91.9%Under8.1%
1.5 goalsOver71.5%Under28.5%
2.5 goalsOver45.9%Under54.1%
3.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%
4.5 goalsOver11.0%Under89.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Dunav RuseSpartak Varna
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
Dunav Ruse0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Spartak Varna1W 0D 0L · last 1
WEtar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna19 Oct 2026 · Cup2-4

First League table

First League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1CSKA 19481+43
2Cherno More Varna1+23
3CSKA Sofia1+23
4Dunav Ruse1+23
5Arda Kardzhali101
6Botev Vratsa101
7Levski Sofia101
8Lokomotiv Sofia101
9Lokomotiv Plovdiv101
10Slavia Sofia101
11Ludogorets1-20
12Septemvri Sofia1-20
13Spartak Varna1-20
14Botev Plovdiv1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDunav RuseSpartak Varna
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)04
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/01/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Dunav Ruse host Spartak Varna in the First League (Regular Season - 12) at Gradski Stadium, Ruse, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Dunav Ruse narrow favourites, giving Dunav Ruse a 39% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 33% for Spartak Varna. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Spartak Varna have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Bulgaria First League
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 12:00 WAT
Venue
Gradski Stadium, Ruse

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?

Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna in?

The match is in the Bulgaria First League.

Where are Dunav Ruse and Spartak Varna in the table?

Dunav Ruse are 4th and Spartak Varna are 13th in the First League.

Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Dunav Ruse 39%, draw 28%, Spartak Varna 33%.

Will both teams score in Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More First League on Sat 24 Oct

FTLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Botev Vratsa1X ✓

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