Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8
Match events
Samsunspor- Goal: C. WinckAssist: A. Kol26'
- Goal: A. ArousAssist: A. Benedyczak31'
- 45'Goal: T. Coulibaly
HT 2-1
- 46'Substitution: E. KilincOff: A. Sousa
- Yellow card: E. Belozoglu51'
- 55'Yellow card: A. Sousa
- 58'VARVAR: T. CoulibalyGoal Disallowed - offside
- Goal: A. ArousAssist: J. Rak-Sakyi64'
- 70'Substitution: Y. E. CiftOff: S. Erakovic
- 70'Substitution: O. OhlenschlaegerOff: A. Sekongo
- Goal: A. BenedyczakAssist: K. Demirbay78'
- Yellow card: E. Mendes79'
- Substitution: A. KolOff: T. Diarra82'
- Substitution: A. BenedyczakOff: G. Yalcin82'
- Substitution: K. DemirbayOff: H. Hajradinovic83'
- Substitution: A. KarapoOff: K. Mouanga86'
- Substitution: J. Rak-SakyiOff: M. Rafferty86'
- 86'Substitution: Y. KayanOff: E. Tavsan
- 86'Substitution: T. CoulibalyOff: S. Jarju
- 89'Yellow card: E. Watt
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.28
✗ This tip lost · final score 4-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.93Expected goals (xG)0.61
- 22Total shots6
- 8Shots on target3
- 7Shots off target3
- 7Blocked shots0
- 14Shots inside the box4
- 8Corners4
- 0Offsides2
- 11Fouls17
- 0Yellow cards1
- 2Goalkeeper saves5
- 348Passes295
- 299Accurate passes234
- 86%Pass accuracy79%
Line-ups
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Andreas GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 4Adem ArousD
- 27Matei IlieD
- 45Ayberk KarapoD
- 16Andri Fannar BaldurssonM
- 26Kerem DemirbayM
- 17Jesurun Rak-SakyiM
- 51Elson MendesM
- 7Ali Yavuz KolM
- 9Adrian BenedyczakF
Substitutes
- 25Ali Emre YanarG
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 30Ahmet Taha DağbaşıD
- 18Ömer BayramD
- 66Emirhan BozM
- 11Thiemoko DiarraF
- 19Marcus RaffertyM
- 8Atakan MujdeM
- 10Haris HajradinovićM
- 50Güven YalçınF
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Okan KocukG
- 2Josafat MendesD
- 22Yunus Emre ÇiftD
- 34Gabriele GuarinoD
- 17Logi TomassonD
- 19Oskar ØhlenschlaegerM
- 4Elliot WattM
- 10Tanguy CoulibalyM
- 20Yalçın KayanM
- 11Emre KılınçM
- 18Mohamed BayoF
Substitutes
- 25Bilal BayazitG
- 16Strahinja ErakovićD
- 3Igor DrapińskiD
- 23Enes AlbakD
- 29Haluk Mustafa TanD
- 42Antoine SekongoM
- 8Samed OnurM
- 77Afonso SousaM
- 7Elayis TavsanF
- 30Saikuba JarjuF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.22Half time / full time result. 1 = Kasımpaşa, X = draw, 2 = Samsunspor.
Asian handicap applied to Kasımpaşa.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstKasımpaşa0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Samsunspor0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Amed | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 | DWLWL |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 | DWWLD |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 16 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Çorum FK | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Göztepe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | WWWWD |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 | LWWDW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 | LLDWD |
| 13 | Rizespor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -25 | 3 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  V. OsimhenGalatasaray | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  G. OrbanAmed | 9 | 8 |
| 3 |  Mohamed SalahTrabzonspor | 9 | 8 |
| 4 |  V. MuriqiFenerbahçe | 10 | 7 |
| 5 |  E. ShomurodovBaşakşehir | 9 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Kasımpaşa host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 8) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Kasımpaşa narrow favourites, giving Kasımpaşa a 38% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 34% for Samsunspor. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Turkey Süper Lig
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 WAT
- Venue
- Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor in?
The match is in the Turkey Süper Lig.
Where are Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor in the table?
Kasımpaşa are 5th and Samsunspor are 17th in the Süper Lig.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Kasımpaşa 38%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 34%.
Will both teams score in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.