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Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction for the Süper Lig on 18 Oct 2026: Başakşehir to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8
BaşakşehirNo recent gamesGaziantep FKNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-0
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul

Match events

BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
  1. Goal: E. Shomurodov9'
  2. VAR: I. BrnicGoal Disallowed - offsideVAR30'
  3. 36'Yellow card: O. Ak
  4. Yellow card: S. Kharebashvili45+3'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: S. KharebashviliOff: O. Sahiner46'
  2. 46'Substitution: V. GidadoOff: A. Maxim
  3. 46'Substitution: A. SyllaOff: K. Calhanoglu
  4. Yellow card: J. Kaluzinski51'
  5. 57'Substitution: T. StewartOff: S. Dursun
  6. Substitution: J. KaluzinskiOff: U. Gunes57'
  7. Substitution: A. Skov OlsenOff: Y. Sari57'
  8. 58'Yellow card: D. Camara
  9. 64'Substitution: D. CamaraOff: K. Gassama
  10. 66'Goal: S. DursunAssist: K. Kozlowski
  11. Substitution: U. BozokOff: B. Yildirim72'
  12. Substitution: I. BrnicOff: E. Visca72'
  13. Yellow card: O. Ba75'
  14. Yellow card: U. Gunes79'
  15. 80'Yellow card: D. Sorescu
  16. Goal: U. GunesAssist: E. Shomurodov81'
  17. 85'Yellow card: K. Kozlowski
  18. 85'Substitution: L. PerezOff: S. Destici
  19. 87'Yellow card: S. Dursun

Our verdict

1 ✓

Başakşehir to win

Bet365 1.65

56%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Başakşehir56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Gaziantep FK21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 50%Possession50%
  • 1.89Expected goals (xG)1.11
  • 14Total shots12
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 10Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners5
  • 0Offsides3
  • 26Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 460Passes466
  • 403Accurate passes404
  • 88%Pass accuracy87%

Line-ups

Başakşehir

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
  2. 33Michał KarbownikD
  3. 23Emin BayramD
  4. 27Ousseynou BaD
  5. 38Saba KharebashviliD
  6. 8Olivier KemenM
  7. 18Jakub KałuzińskiM
  8. 70Andreas Skov OlsenM
  9. 14Eldor ShomurodovM
  10. 77Ivan BrnićM
  11. 17Umut BozokF

Substitutes

  1. 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerM
  2. 7Yusuf SarıF
  3. 20Umut GüneşM
  4. 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
  5. 10Edin VišćaM
  6. 98Deniz DilmenG
  7. 15Hamza GürelerD
  8. 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
  9. 4Onur ErgünM
  10. 19Berkay ÖzcanM

Gaziantep FK

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 25Kacper TobiaszG
  2. 2Luis PérezD
  3. 4Arda KızıldağD
  4. 14Myenty AbenaD
  5. 21Abakar SyllaD
  6. 18Deian SorescuM
  7. 8Gidado Victor Ntino-EmoM
  8. 61Ogün ÖzçiçekM
  9. 3Drissa CamaraM
  10. 9Trivante StewartF
  11. 10Kacper KozłowskiF

Substitutes

  1. 23Kerim ÇalhanoğluD
  2. 44Alexandru MaximM
  3. 19Serdar DursunF
  4. 17Karamba GassamaM
  5. 35Ataberk DadakdenizG
  6. 77Sabahattin DesticiD
  7. 5Efe SarıkayaD
  8. 7Juninho BacunaM
  9. 22Sontje HansenF
  10. 28Halil DervişoğluF

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.94 – 1.10
0.5 goalsOver95.2%Under4.8%
1.5 goalsOver80.7%Under19.3%
2.5 goalsOver58.6%Under41.4%
3.5 goalsOver36.2%Under63.8%
4.5 goalsOver19.1%Under80.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
73%Overall27%

Last matches

Newest first
Başakşehir0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Gaziantep FK0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Süper Lig table

Süper Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
11Erzurumspor FK10-614
12Alanyaspor9-212
13Rizespor10-411
14Konyaspor10-78
15Gaziantep FK10-88
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.9-118
17Samsunspor10-164
18Eyüpspor10-253
See full table ›

Top scorers

Süper Lig top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1G. OrbanAmed109
2V. OsimhenGalatasaray89
3Mohamed SalahTrabzonspor108
4E. ShomurodovBaşakşehir108
5V. MuriqiFenerbahçe107

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBaşakşehirGaziantep FK
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Başakşehir host Gaziantep FK in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 8) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Başakşehir favourites, giving Başakşehir a 56% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 21% for Gaziantep FK. Our tip is: Başakşehir to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey Süper Lig
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK in?

The match is in the Turkey Süper Lig.

Where are Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK in the table?

Başakşehir are 10th and Gaziantep FK are 15th in the Süper Lig.

Who will win Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?

Our prediction is Başakşehir to win. Win probabilities: Başakşehir 56%, draw 23%, Gaziantep FK 21%.

Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Süper Lig on Sun 18 Oct

FTKasımpaşa 4-1 SamsunsporUnder 3.5 ✗FTKocaelispor 1-2 GöztepeX2 ✓

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