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IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction for the Allsvenskan on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 25
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
0 - 0Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 0-0
Borås Arena, Boras

Match events

IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
  1. 45'Yellow card: Stian GregersenFoul
  2. 45'Substitution: Sead HakšabanovićOff: Anders Christiansen

HT 0-0

  1. 65'Substitution: Otto RosengrenOff: Emmanuel Ekong
  2. 65'Substitution: Daniel GudjohnsenOff: Diego García
  3. Substitution: Simon OlssonOff: Simon Hedlund65'
  4. Substitution: Arbër ZeneliOff: Ari Sigurpalsson65'
  5. Yellow card: Thomas IsherwoodFoul74'
  6. 76'Yellow card: Anders ChristiansenFoul
  7. Substitution: Julius BeckOff: Marcus Rohdén78'
  8. Substitution: Rasmus WikströmOff: Sebastian Holmen79'
  9. 80'Substitution: Viggo JeppssonOff: Theodor Lundbergh
  10. Yellow card: Sebastian HolmenFoul87'
  11. Substitution: Momoh Ibrahim KamaraOff: Taylor Silverholt88'
  12. 90'Substitution: Stian GregersenOff: Malte Vilhelm Frejd Pålsson

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · IF Elfsborg47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Malmo FF28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 0.83Expected goals (xG)0.64
  • 13Total shots14
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 7Shots off target6
  • 5Blocked shots6
  • 6Shots inside the box9
  • 8Corners2
  • 2Offsides2
  • 10Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 434Passes547
  • 369Accurate passes466

Line-ups

IF Elfsborg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31I. PetterssonG
  2. 16A. JensenD
  3. 6R. WikströmD
  4. 4T. IsherwoodD
  5. 23N. HultD
  6. 18J. MagnússonM
  7. 10S. OlssonM
  8. 29M. KamaraM
  9. 19J. BeckM
  10. 9A. ZeneliM
  11. 21L. ÖstmanF

Substitutes

  1. 3J. EsengaD
  2. 12T. SanderG
  3. 5O. NordvallM
  4. 7M. RohdénM
  5. 25A. SigurpálssonF
  6. 11T. SilverholtF
  7. 15S. HedlundM
  8. 17P. FrickF
  9. 8S. HolménD

Coach: Björn Hamberg

Malmo FF

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1R. OlsenG
  2. 17J. Stryger LarsenD
  3. 5A. ĐurićD
  4. 2S. GregersenD
  5. 25BusanelloD
  6. 37A. SkogmarM
  7. 7O. RosengrenM
  8. 47Theodor LundberghM
  9. 28J. MilosavljevićF
  10. 9Diego GarcíaF
  11. 29S. HakšabanovićF

Substitutes

  1. 27J. DahlinG
  2. 6Y. KarabelyovM
  3. 11E. EkongM
  4. 44M. PålssonD
  5. 32D. GuðjohnsenF
  6. 42V. JeppssonM
  7. 4B. KurtulusD
  8. 10A. ChristiansenM
  9. 54amadeus sundgrenD

Coach: G. Helstrup

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.19
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
2.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
3.5 goalsOver30.8%Under69.2%
4.5 goalsOver15.2%Under84.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
IF Elfsborg0W 1D 0L · last 1
DSirius vs IF Elfsborg18 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan2-2
Malmo FF0W 0D 1L · last 1
LMalmo FF vs BK Hacken18 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan0-1

Allsvenskan table

Allsvenskan table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
11IF Brommapojkarna26-434
12Mjallby AIF26-1326
13Kalmar FF26-1922
14Degerfors IF26-2320
15Orgryte IS26-2619
16Halmstad26-3117
See full table ›

Top scorers

Allsvenskan top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. LienDjurgardens IF2616
2P. AbrahamHammarby FF2615
3R. UreSirius1515
4I. BjerkeboSirius2614
5G. LindgrenBK Hacken2613

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatIF ElfsborgMalmo FF
Played11
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

IF Elfsborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan (Regular Season - 25) at Borås Arena, Boras, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes IF Elfsborg slight favourites, giving IF Elfsborg a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for Malmo FF. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

IF Elfsborg have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Malmo FF have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Sweden Allsvenskan
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Borås Arena, Boras

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF in?

The match is in the Sweden Allsvenskan.

Where are IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF in the table?

IF Elfsborg are 5th and Malmo FF are 7th in the Allsvenskan.

Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: IF Elfsborg 47%, draw 25%, Malmo FF 28%.

Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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