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Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction for the Allsvenskan on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
SiriusNo recent gamesIF ElfsborgNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-1
Studenternas IP, Uppsala

Match events

SiriusIF Elfsborg
  1. 20'Goal: Julius BeckAssist: Ari Sigurpalsson
  2. 39'Yellow card: Ari SigurpalssonFoul
  3. Yellow card: Victor SvenssonArgument43'

HT 0-1

  1. 53'Yellow card: Thomas IsherwoodFoul
  2. Substitution: Victor SvenssonOff: Adam Vikman60'
  3. 62'Substitution: Simon OlssonOff: Ossian nordvall
  4. 62'Substitution: Ari SigurpalssonOff: Arbër Zeneli
  5. Goal: Joakim PerssonAssist: Marcus Lindberg70'
  6. Goal: Joakim PerssonAssist: Marcus Lindberg73'
  7. Yellow card: Mohamed SoumahFoul78'
  8. Substitution: Otso LiimattaOff: Ake Andersson83'
  9. 87'Goal: Leo Hakan OstmanAssist: Niklas Hult

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Sirius47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · IF Elfsborg28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.84Expected goals (xG)1.24
  • 12Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 9Shots inside the box9
  • 6Corners8
  • 1Offsides2
  • 7Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves2
  • 502Passes458
  • 442Accurate passes399

Line-ups

Sirius

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 34D. CelicG
  2. 5H. CastegrenD
  3. 2Mohamed SoumahD
  4. 4T. AnkerD
  5. 22O. KrusnellD
  6. 10M. HeierM
  7. 6M. LindbergM
  8. 7J. PerssonM
  9. 24V. SvenssonM
  10. 11I. BjerkeboM
  11. 29Ake AnderssonF

Substitutes

  1. 1I. DiawaraG
  2. 20V. EkströmD
  3. 17N. JönssonF
  4. 16O. LiimattaM
  5. 21C. NildénM
  6. 15S. SandbergD
  7. 30Z. VancsaM
  8. 18A. WikmanM
  9. 25O. AdinduF

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

IF Elfsborg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31I. PetterssonG
  2. 16A. JensenD
  3. 6R. WikströmD
  4. 4T. IsherwoodD
  5. 23N. HultD
  6. 19J. BeckM
  7. 18J. MagnússonM
  8. 29M. KamaraM
  9. 25A. SigurpálssonM
  10. 10S. OlssonM
  11. 21L. ÖstmanF

Substitutes

  1. 5O. NordvallM
  2. 12T. SanderG
  3. 11T. SilverholtF
  4. 9A. ZeneliM
  5. 22D. KrasniqiF
  6. 8S. HolménD
  7. 15S. HedlundM
  8. 17P. FrickF
  9. 3J. EsengaD

Coach: Björn Hamberg

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.4%Under21.6%
2.5 goalsOver55.2%Under44.8%
3.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%
4.5 goalsOver16.7%Under83.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SiriusIF Elfsborg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Sirius0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

IF Elfsborg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Allsvenskan table

Allsvenskan table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
11IF Brommapojkarna27-534
12Mjallby AIF26-1326
13Kalmar FF26-1922
14Degerfors IF27-2420
15Orgryte IS27-2719
16Halmstad26-3117
See full table ›

Top scorers

Allsvenskan top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. LienDjurgardens IF2616
2P. AbrahamHammarby FF2615
3R. UreSirius1515
4I. BjerkeboSirius2614
5G. LindgrenBK Hacken2613

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSiriusIF Elfsborg
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sirius host IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan (Regular Season - 24) at Studenternas IP, Uppsala, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sirius slight favourites, giving Sirius a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for IF Elfsborg. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Sweden Allsvenskan
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Studenternas IP, Uppsala

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sirius vs IF Elfsborg in?

The match is in the Sweden Allsvenskan.

Where are Sirius and IF Elfsborg in the table?

Sirius are 2nd and IF Elfsborg are 5th in the Allsvenskan.

Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Sirius 47%, draw 25%, IF Elfsborg 28%.

Will both teams score in Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct

FTVasteras SK FK 1-0 Mjallby AIFOver 1.5 ✗FTMalmo FF 0-1 BK HackenX2 ✓FTOrgryte IS 4-2 Gais2 ✗FTHalmstad 0-1 Hammarby FF2 ✓

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