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Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on 16 Oct 2026: 1. FC Nürnberg or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus

Match events

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
  1. 33'Substitution: Mohamed Alì ZomaOff: William Bøving
  2. 34'Yellow card: Adam MarkhievFoul
  3. Yellow card: Henry RorigFoul45+1'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Justin ButlerAssist: Leonardo Bittencourt56'
  2. 61'Yellow card: Alexios KalogeropoulosDissent
  3. Substitution: Leon GuwaraOff: fousseny doumbia65'
  4. Substitution: Leonardo BittencourtOff: Dominik Pelivan65'
  5. 65'Substitution: Rayan GhriebOff: Rafael Lubach
  6. 66'Substitution: Alexios KalogeropoulosOff: Styopa Mkrtchyan
  7. Yellow card: Tolcay CigerciFoul68'
  8. 79'Goal: Styopa MkrtchyanAssist: Eric Porstner
  9. Substitution: Henry RorigOff: Christian Kinsombi80'
  10. Substitution: Justin ButlerOff: Dmytro Bogdanov80'
  11. Substitution: King Samuel ManuOff: Tim Campulka82'
  12. Yellow card: Christian KinsombiFoul90+1'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

1. FC Nürnberg or draw

Bet365 1.28

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.7

Win probability

1 · Energie Cottbus28%
Fair odds 3.57
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · 1. FC Nürnberg50%
Fair odds 2.00

Match statistics

  • 39%Possession61%
  • 1.91Expected goals (xG)1.15
  • 14Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target6
  • 3Blocked shots6
  • 11Shots inside the box10
  • 2Corners8
  • 2Offsides1
  • 9Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 324Passes524
  • 244Accurate passes450

Line-ups

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. LotkaG
  2. 3H. RorigD
  3. 2K. ManuD
  4. 21Luca ErleinD
  5. 25L. GuwaraD
  6. 32L. BittencourtM
  7. 8Lukas MichelbrinkM
  8. 10T. CiğerciM
  9. 9L. CopadoM
  10. 11M. HannemannM
  11. 31J. ButlerF

Substitutes

  1. 7C. KinsombiF
  2. 13Dmytro BohdanovF
  3. 4T. CampulkaD
  4. 23Fousseny DoumbiaD
  5. 6J. HofmannM
  6. 16R. MaloneD
  7. 5D. PelivanM
  8. 29K. KratzschG
  9. 19J. BoziarisM

Coach: C. Wollitz

1. FC Nürnberg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. ReichertG
  2. 32T. JanischD
  3. 4A. KalogeropoulosD
  4. 20F. OttoD
  5. 41E. PorstnerD
  6. 6A. MarhievM
  7. 8J. FernandezM
  8. 7R. GhriebM
  9. 10J. JustvanM
  10. 23M. ZomaM
  11. 19P. ScobelF

Substitutes

  1. 13Robin LisewskiG
  2. 18Rafael LubachM
  3. 21G. MasourasD
  4. 5S. MkrtchyanD
  5. 28Can Yaha MoustfaF
  6. 9S. HaugenF
  7. 14andrea ceresoliD
  8. 11W. BøvingF
  9. 35M. Kornwachs BarjuanM

Coach: M. Klose

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.57 – 2.12
0.5 goalsOver97.5%Under2.5%
1.5 goalsOver88.3%Under11.7%
2.5 goalsOver71.3%Under28.7%
3.5 goalsOver50.4%Under49.6%
4.5 goalsOver31.1%Under68.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
36%Overall64%

Last matches

Newest first
Energie Cottbus0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

1. FC Nürnberg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

2. Bundesliga table

2. Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
11VfL Bochum10-311
12Hannover 9610-611
13Karlsruher SC10-811
14Energie Cottbus10-210
15Eintracht Braunschweig10-210
16SV Darmstadt 9810-109
17Holstein Kiel10-28
18Dynamo Dresden10-88
See full table ›

Top scorers

2. Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1M. Zoma1. FC Nürnberg87
2J. GrodowskiArminia Bielefeld107
3F. KlausSpVgg Greuther Fürth107
4E. Iyoha1. FC Magdeburg106
5P. Scobel1. FC Nürnberg105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEnergie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Energie Cottbus host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes 1. FC Nürnberg favourites, giving Energie Cottbus a 28% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 50% for 1. FC Nürnberg. Our tip is: 1. FC Nürnberg or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 and a 70% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg in?

The match is in the Germany 2. Bundesliga.

Where are Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg in the table?

Energie Cottbus are 14th and 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd in the 2. Bundesliga.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our prediction is 1. FC Nürnberg or draw. Win probabilities: Energie Cottbus 28%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 50%.

Will both teams score in Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We estimate a 70% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We estimate a 71% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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