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Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction

Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction for the Bundesliga on 30 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
Grazer AKTSV Hartberg
0 - 4Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-2
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Match events

Grazer AKTSV Hartberg
  1. 5'Yellow card: Markus SchoppDissent
  2. 7'Substitution: paul komposchOff: Lukas Spendlhofer
  3. 12'Goal: Marco HoffmannAssist: Angelo Gattermayer
  4. 25'Goal: Marco HoffmannAssist: Magnus Dalpiaz
  5. Yellow card: Alexander HofleitnerFoul27'
  6. Substitution: Donovan PinesOff: Petar Markovic45'

HT 0-2

  1. Yellow card: Christopher CvetkoFoul47'
  2. 55'Yellow card: Youba DiarraFoul
  3. Substitution: Mark GroßeOff: Souleyman mandey58'
  4. Yellow card: Peter MichorlFoul58'
  5. 63'Goal: Nikolaus FeldhoferAssist: Angelo Gattermayer
  6. 63'Yellow card: Nikolaus Feldhofer
  7. 66'Own goal: Donovan Pines (og)
  8. 71'Substitution: Tobias KainzOff: Nikolaus Feldhofer
  9. 71'Substitution: Marco HoffmannOff: Augustín Urrutia
  10. Substitution: Alexander HofleitnerOff: Daniel Maderner74'
  11. Substitution: Christopher CvetkoOff: Tobias Koch74'
  12. Substitution: Tim TrummerOff: Leon Klassen80'
  13. 80'Substitution: Angelo GattermayerOff: Andrija Radulovic
  14. 80'Substitution: Magnus DalpiazOff: Luca Pazourek

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-4

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Grazer AK43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · TSV Hartberg31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 50%Possession51%
  • 1.24Expected goals (xG)3.20
  • 19Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target8
  • 6Shots off target5
  • 8Blocked shots1
  • 12Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners4
  • 0Offsides3
  • 15Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves5
  • 388Passes421
  • 273Accurate passes311

Line-ups

Grazer AK

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 23C. StankovićG
  2. 72Petar MarkovicD
  3. 21M. SollbauerD
  4. 27Y. OberleitnerD
  5. 28AndersonM
  6. 34P. MichorlM
  7. 24C. CvetkoM
  8. 37T. TrummerM
  9. 25A. HofleitnerF
  10. 11M. GroßeF
  11. 10C. LichtenbergerF

Substitutes

  1. 7A. SmitsF
  2. 6L. HermeshM
  3. 48M. GraggerD
  4. 32L. KlassenD
  5. 8T. KochM
  6. 9D. MadernerF
  7. 17S. MandeyM
  8. 1J. MeierhoferG
  9. 2D. PinesD

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

TSV Hartberg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 91Á. PécsiG
  2. 16M. DalpiazD
  3. 27K. SchoppD
  4. 14P. KomposchD
  5. 6Habib CoulibalyD
  6. 4B. MarkušM
  7. 5Y. DiarraM
  8. 7A. GattermayerM
  9. 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
  10. 10O. LukicM
  11. 22M. HoffmanF

Substitutes

  1. 20Paul BratschkoM
  2. 11J. DrewF
  3. 23T. KainzM
  4. 17J. KarnerM
  5. 21L. MarićG
  6. 2L. PazourekM
  7. 49A. RadulovićF
  8. 19L. SpendlhoferD
  9. 9A. UrrutiaF

Coach: M. Schopp

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.27
0.5 goalsOver94.1%Under5.9%
1.5 goalsOver77.4%Under22.6%
2.5 goalsOver53.8%Under46.2%
3.5 goalsOver31.5%Under68.5%
4.5 goalsOver15.7%Under84.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Grazer AKTSV Hartberg
100%Form0%
50%Attack50%
46%Defence54%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Grazer AK0W 1D 1L · last 2
DWSG Wattens vs Grazer AK24 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-1LSturm Graz vs Grazer AK18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga6-1
TSV Hartberg0W 0D 1L · last 1
LRapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg16 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga3-1

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rapid Vienna10+2227
2Red Bull Salzburg10+1924
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz10+618
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau10-128
11Austria Vienna10-107
12Wolfsberger AC10-125
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1H. TabakovićRed Bull Salzburg97
2C. LangLask Linz107
3D. WeixelbraunAustria Lustenau106
4S. AdeniranLask Linz76
5C. HoffmannTSV Hartberg06

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
Played21
Wins00
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)3.53
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.51/21/1
Over 3.51/21/1
BTTS – yes2/21/1

Match preview

Grazer AK host TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 11) at Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Grazer AK slight favourites, giving Grazer AK a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for TSV Hartberg. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Grazer AK have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). TSV Hartberg have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Austria Bundesliga
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg in?

The match is in the Austria Bundesliga.

Where are Grazer AK and TSV Hartberg in the table?

Grazer AK are 9th and TSV Hartberg are 5th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Grazer AK 43%, draw 26%, TSV Hartberg 31%.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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