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Granada CF vs Valladolid prediction

Granada CF vs Valladolid prediction for the Segunda División on 23 Oct 2026: Granada CF or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Granada CFValladolid
2 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada

Match events

Granada CFValladolid
  1. Goal: Sergio Rodelas PintorAssist: José Manuel Arnáiz14'
  2. 20'Yellow card: Thiago Ezequiel OjedaDissent

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Julien PonceauFoul
  2. Substitution: José Manuel ArnáizOff: Owen Emeka52'
  3. 57'Goal: Iván GarrielAssist: Julien Ponceau
  4. Yellow card: Juanjo FloresFoul61'
  5. Substitution: Baïla DialloOff: Diego Varela Pampín65'
  6. Substitution: Pau CasadesúsOff: Sergio López65'
  7. Substitution: Mario Jiménez GambínOff: Chinaza Onouha65'
  8. Goal: Jorge PascualAssist: Gerard Gumbau67'
  9. 70'Substitution: Tay AbedOff: Yeray Cabanzón
  10. 70'Substitution: Thiago Ezequiel OjedaOff: Kaj de Rooij
  11. 70'Substitution: Victor BarberaOff: Robin van Duiven
  12. 73'Yellow card: Iván AlejoArgument
  13. Substitution: Sergio Rodelas PintorOff: Kader Bamba77'
  14. 81'Substitution: Julien PonceauOff: Mathis Lachuer
  15. 86'Yellow card: Mathis LachuerFoul
  16. 87'Substitution: Adrian ArnuOff: Tomás Fernández Sabatini
  17. 90+6'VARVAR: David TorresCard upgrade confirmed
  18. 90+7'Red card: David Torres

Our verdict

1X ✓

Granada CF or draw

Bet365 1.33

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Granada CF44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Valladolid28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 0.87Expected goals (xG)1.36
  • 10Total shots14
  • 7Shots on target8
  • 2Shots off target3
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 7Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 12Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 7Goalkeeper saves5
  • 351Passes496
  • 278Accurate passes433

Line-ups

Granada CF

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Alberto FloresG
  2. 18Sergio LópezD
  3. 30Juan José Flores CastroD
  4. 5Manu LamaD
  5. 22B. DialloD
  6. 6GumbauM
  7. 4Rubén AlcarazM
  8. 27M. GambinM
  9. 7Sergio RodelasF
  10. 10Jorge PascualF
  11. 11José ArnáizF

Substitutes

  1. 2Pau CasadesúsD
  2. 17K. BambaF
  3. 35B. DembeleD
  4. 33A. GarciaD
  5. 23B. GimberD
  6. 3Diego HormigoD
  7. 13Raúl LizoainG
  8. 34Manuel Maza BarrancoM
  9. 36O. M. ChukwuemekaF
  10. 19Chinaza OnouhaF
  11. 32D. RodriguezM
  12. 16Diego PampínD

Coach: José Rojo Martín

Valladolid

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Álvaro AcevesG
  2. 14Iván AlejoD
  3. 15Pablo TomeoD
  4. 4David TorresD
  5. 27Iván GarrielD
  6. 24S. JurićM
  7. 8T. OjedaM
  8. 23T. AbedM
  9. 21J. PonceauM
  10. 17Victor BarberáF
  11. 19Adrian ArnuncioF

Substitutes

  1. 16Álex BalboaM
  2. 11Yeray CabanzónF
  3. 18ClercD
  4. 33Tomás Fernández SabatiniF
  5. 6M. LachuerM
  6. 26L. LavagninoG
  7. 13Dani MartínG
  8. 5Ramón MartínezD
  9. 2TrilliD
  10. 22K. de RooijF
  11. 20R. DuivenF
  12. 3Homam AhmedD

Coach: Fran Escribá

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.08
0.5 goalsOver91.6%Under8.4%
1.5 goalsOver70.9%Under29.1%
2.5 goalsOver45.1%Under54.9%
3.5 goalsOver23.8%Under76.2%
4.5 goalsOver10.6%Under89.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Granada CFValladolid
100%Form0%
50%Attack50%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Granada CF1W 0D 0L · last 1
WGranada CF vs Cadiz18 Oct 2026 · Segunda División2-0
Valladolid0W 0D 1L · last 1
LValladolid vs Eldense18 Oct 2026 · Segunda División2-3

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4Israel SueroCastellón106
5FuentesMallorca116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGranada CFValladolid
Played11
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)22
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Granada CF host Valladolid in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11) at Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Granada CF slight favourites, giving Granada CF a 44% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 28% for Valladolid. Our tip is: Granada CF or draw.

Granada CF have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Valladolid have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Granada CF vs Valladolid?

Granada CF vs Valladolid kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Granada CF vs Valladolid in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Granada CF and Valladolid in the table?

Granada CF are 4th and Valladolid are 16th in the Segunda División.

Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?

Our prediction is Granada CF or draw. Win probabilities: Granada CF 44%, draw 28%, Valladolid 28%.

Will both teams score in Granada CF vs Valladolid?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Granada CF vs Valladolid?

We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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