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Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction

Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Oct 2026: Gimnasia M. or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Gimnasia M.No recent gamesPlatense
1 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza

Match events

Gimnasia M.Platense
  1. Goal: Agustín Módica10'
  2. 31'Yellow card: Ivan GómezFoul
  3. 37'VARVAR: Gonzalo LencinaGoal cancelled

HT 1-0

  1. 58'Substitution: Ivan GómezOff: Maximiliano Amarfil
  2. 58'Substitution: Bautista MerliniOff: Franco Zapiola Yamartino
  3. Substitution: Luciano César CingolaniOff: Matías Vargas64'
  4. Yellow card: Diego MondinoFoul67'
  5. 72'Substitution: Kevin RetamarOff: Guido Mainero
  6. Substitution: Agustín MódicaOff: Blas Armoa Nunez72'
  7. 72'Substitution: Juan Ignacio SaboridoOff: Agustin Lagos
  8. 79'Goal: Juan Carlos GautoAssist: Guido Mainero
  9. 80'Substitution: Gonzalo LencinaOff: Bruno Christian Sepulveda
  10. Substitution: Facundo LencioniOff: Valentino Simoni85'
  11. Substitution: Esteban FernándezOff: Martín Úbeda85'
  12. 90+3'Goal: Bruno Christian SepulvedaAssist: Franco Zapiola Yamartino

Our verdict

1X ✗

Gimnasia M. or draw

Bet365 1.25

74%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.2

Win probability

1 · Gimnasia M.44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · Platense26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1.53Expected goals (xG)1.93
  • 14Total shots22
  • 2Shots on target8
  • 9Shots off target8
  • 3Blocked shots6
  • 6Shots inside the box14
  • 2Corners9
  • 1Offsides4
  • 12Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves1
  • 348Passes353
  • 278Accurate passes273

Line-ups

Gimnasia M.

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 23C. RigamontiG
  2. 32L. ParedesD
  3. 2D. MondinoD
  4. 42L. CarreraD
  5. 3M. RecaldeD
  6. 5N. BarbozaM
  7. 17I. SabatiniM
  8. 26F. LencioniM
  9. 30E. FernándezM
  10. 7L. CingolaniM
  11. 9A. MódicaF

Substitutes

  1. 33B. AndradaF
  2. 19J. CeballosM
  3. 36I. CortezD
  4. 22J. FrancoD
  5. 41G. PatrittiD
  6. 31L. PetruchiG
  7. 11S. RodríguezF
  8. 35V. SimoniF
  9. 15U. SánchezM
  10. 8M. VargasM
  11. 25M. UbedaD
  12. 27B. ArmoaF

Coach: D. Franco

Platense

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 30J. CozzaniG
  2. 25J. SaboridoD
  3. 34M. MendiaD
  4. 31V. CuestaD
  5. 3T. SilvaD
  6. 5I. GómezM
  7. 24M. BarriosM
  8. 43N. RetamarM
  9. 18B. MerliniM
  10. 33J. GautoM
  11. 99G. LencinaF

Substitutes

  1. 1B. BustosG
  2. 4A. LagosD
  3. 21A. LottiF
  4. 7G. MaineroF
  5. 6E. RaggioD
  6. 79B. SepúlvedaF
  7. 16G. TogniF
  8. 13I. VázquezD
  9. 10F. ZapiolaM
  10. 17Felipe BussioM
  11. 15M. AmarfilM
  12. 38Celías Adán IngenthronD

Coach: M. Palermo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.27 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver88.6%Under11.4%
1.5 goalsOver63.8%Under36.2%
2.5 goalsOver36.9%Under63.1%
3.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%
4.5 goalsOver6.9%Under93.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Gimnasia M.Platense
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Gimnasia M.0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Platense0W 0D 1L · last 1
LPlatense vs Lanus17 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina0-1

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3115
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2614
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3114
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGimnasia M.Platense
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Gimnasia M. host Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 14) at Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Gimnasia M. slight favourites, giving Gimnasia M. a 44% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 26% for Platense. Our tip is: Gimnasia M. or draw.

Platense have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Gimnasia M. vs Platense?

Gimnasia M. vs Platense kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Gimnasia M. vs Platense in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Gimnasia M. and Platense in the table?

Gimnasia M. are 11th and Platense are 12th in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Platense?

Our prediction is Gimnasia M. or draw. Win probabilities: Gimnasia M. 44%, draw 30%, Platense 26%.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?

We estimate a 37% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Profesional Argentina on Fri 23 Oct

FTGimnasia L.P. 2-0 Sarmiento Junin1 ✓

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