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Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction for the AFC Champions League Two on 15 Oct 2026: Gangwon FC to win (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung

Match events

Gangwon FCPhnom Penh Crown
  1. Yellow card: Kim Yi-seokFoul19'
  2. Yellow card: Kang Seong-YunFoul24'
  3. 44'Goal: Guytho mijland
  4. 45'Substitution: Chanpolin OrnOff: Pich Koeut

HT 0-1

  1. Penalty goal: Abdallah Hleihel (pen)61'
  2. Substitution: Abdallah HleihelOff: Jesse Sekidika62'
  3. Substitution: Jung Seung-binOff: Eun-Seok Ko67'
  4. Substitution: Jesse SekidikaOff: Lee Eun-ho67'
  5. Yellow card: Lee Eun-ho69'
  6. 70'Substitution: Guytho mijlandOff: Daniel Bares
  7. 70'Substitution: Callum TimminsOff: Samuel Bong
  8. Yellow card: Jung Seung-binFoul71'
  9. 77'Substitution: Ponvuthy PovOff: Ratana Eam
  10. 78'Penalty goal: Moses Dyer (pen)
  11. Substitution: Yoo Byung-heonOff: Park Sang-Hyeok85'
  12. Substitution: Kim Yi-seokOff: Ji-Nam Choe85'

Our verdict

1 ✗

Gangwon FC to win

Bet365 1.42

63%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Gangwon FC63%
Fair odds 1.59
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Phnom Penh Crown15%
Fair odds 6.67

Match statistics

  • 64%Possession36%
  • 2.08Expected goals (xG)0.89
  • 12Total shots3
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 5Shots off target0
  • 1Blocked shots0
  • 7Shots inside the box1
  • 8Corners1
  • 2Offsides1
  • 17Fouls17
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 562Passes332
  • 474Accurate passes245

Line-ups

Gangwon FC

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 41K. SungG
  2. 27Kim Do-HyunD
  3. 38Eun-Seok KoD
  4. 71Kang Seong-YunD
  5. 33Hong ChulD
  6. 14Kang Yun-GuM
  7. 75Kim Yi-SeokM
  8. 57Yong-Jae LeeM
  9. 26Won-woo ChoM
  10. 77A. HalaihalF
  11. 19Park Sang-HyeokF

Substitutes

  1. 51Cho Min-KyuG
  2. 3Jeong Seung-BinD
  3. 16Kim Tae-HwanM
  4. 17Eun-ho LeeF
  5. 25Hyo-bin LeeD
  6. 5K. MammarD
  7. 74Ji-Nam ChoeF
  8. 70J. SekidikaF
  9. 22Yoo Byung-HeonF

Coach: Chung Kyung-Ho

Phnom Penh Crown

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 22Vichet UmG
  2. 2R. MatsudaD
  3. 5R. FeherD
  4. 4R. KettingD
  5. 15Choun ChanchavD
  6. 32Ratana EamD
  7. 14V. GryshynM
  8. 45C. TimminsM
  9. 20Pich KoeutM
  10. 7G. MijlandM
  11. 10M. DyerF

Substitutes

  1. 6V. ChhinD
  2. 1S. ChiemG
  3. 16Phearath LongM
  4. 8Orn ChanpolinM
  5. 23Bong SamuelM
  6. 9T. SaF
  7. 19B. SormM
  8. 11D. YemF
  9. 28Daniel BaresF
  10. 21Razak TinG
  11. 44Pov PonvuthyF

Coach: Oleg Starynskiy

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.02 – 0.87
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.4%Under21.6%
2.5 goalsOver55.2%Under44.8%
3.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%
4.5 goalsOver16.7%Under83.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Gangwon FCPhnom Penh Crown
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
70%Expected goals30%
81%Overall19%

Last matches

Newest first
Gangwon FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Phnom Penh Crown0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

AFC Champions League Two table

AFC Champions League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al Kuwait1+23
2Al Faisaly1+23
3Muharraq1+23
4Al Shorta1+13
5Adelaide United1+13
6Al Taawon1+13
7Al Wahda FC1+13
8Al-Jazira1+13
9Phnom Penh Crown1+13
10Home United1+13
11Machida Zelvia1+13
12Persib Bandung1+13
13Kitchee101
14Kuching FA101
15Shanghai Shenhua101
16Svay Rieng101
17East Bengal II1-10
18Al-Rayyan SC1-10
19Arkadag1-10
20BG Pathum United1-10
21Gangwon FC1-10
22Nasaf1-10
23Tampines Rovers1-10
24Viettel1-10
25Wofoo Tai Po1-10
26Khalidiya1-20
27Al-Nahda1-20
28Gol Gohar1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGangwon FCPhnom Penh Crown
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Gangwon FC host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Champions League Two (Group Stage - 2) at Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Gangwon FC favourites, giving Gangwon FC a 63% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 15% for Phnom Penh Crown. Our tip is: Gangwon FC to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
World AFC Champions League Two
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
Venue
Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown in?

The match is in the World AFC Champions League Two.

Where are Gangwon FC and Phnom Penh Crown in the table?

Gangwon FC are 21st and Phnom Penh Crown are 9th in the AFC Champions League Two.

Who will win Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Our prediction is Gangwon FC to win. Win probabilities: Gangwon FC 63%, draw 22%, Phnom Penh Crown 15%.

Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More AFC Champions League Two on Thu 15 Oct

FTWofoo Tai Po 0-1 Home United2 ✓FTTampines Rovers 0-1 Machida Zelvia2 ✓FTSvay Rieng 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua2 ✗FTBG Pathum United 1-2 Adelaide UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTKuching FA 1-1 KitcheeOver 1.5 ✓

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