Match events
Adelaide United- Goal: Marin JurinaAssist: Patrik Gustavsson2'
- 10'Goal: Craig Goodwin
HT 1-1
- Yellow card: Sarach YooyenFoul55'
- 59'Yellow card: Anselmo de MoraesDissent
- 63'Substitution: Ajak RiakOff: Brody Burkitt
- 64'Substitution: Jay BarnettOff: Fabian Talladira
- Substitution: Fabio KaufmannOff: Lucas Andersen66'
- Substitution: Ashley Mark CoffeyOff: Hugo Rama66'
- Substitution: Yefferson QuintanaOff: Marko Nikolić66'
- 70'Yellow card: Panagiotis KikianisFoul
- Substitution: Patrik GustavssonOff: Waris Chuthong72'
- 73'Substitution: Jonny YullOff: Joey Garuccio
- 77'Goal: Ethan AlagichAssist: Juan Muñiz
- Yellow card: Anthony BelmonteFoul80'
- Substitution: Anthony BelmonteOff: Joao Magno83'
- 85'Substitution: Craig GoodwinOff: Amlani Tatu
- 85'Substitution: Anselmo de MoraesOff: Feyzo Kasumovic
- 89'Yellow card: Ajak RiakFoul
- Substitution: Jonathan ScherzerOff: Edin Osmanović90+9'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Fair odds 1.27
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 49%Possession51%
- 1.25Expected goals (xG)1.31
- 18Total shots13
- 7Shots on target6
- 9Shots off target5
- 2Blocked shots2
- 10Shots inside the box7
- 4Corners2
- 1Offsides2
- 7Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves6
- 373Passes475
- 314Accurate passes418
Line-ups
BG Pathum United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 28S. AnuinG
- 16T. YanagiD
- 3Y. QuintanaD
- 5K. KamanD
- 27J. ScherzerD
- 11P. GustavssonM
- 26A. BelmonteM
- 6S. YooyenM
- 30Hugo RamaM
- 10Lucas AndersenF
- 20M. JurinaF
Substitutes
- 2C. TammaD
- 79W. PhraothaisongF
- 50E. OsmanovićD
- 44Marko NikolićD
- 22Matheus CostaF
- 37F. KaufmannM
- 45João MagnoF
- 4L. JamesM
- 49N. IneachaeoenG
- 19A. CoffeyF
- 48W. ChoolthongM
Coach: Vladimir Vujović
Adelaide United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22J. SmitsG
- 58H. CrawfordD
- 52S. PhillisD
- 4P. KikianisD
- 14J. BarnettD
- 12J. YullM
- 87AnselmoM
- 55E. AlagichM
- 11C. GoodwinM
- 10Juan MuñizF
- 35Brody BurkittF
Substitutes
- 19A. TatuF
- 62F. TalladiraM
- 99A. RiakF
- 79F. KasumovicD
- 23L. ĐuzelM
- 40E. CoxG
- 65J. GaruccioM
Coach: Airton Andrioli
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.36Half time / full time result. 1 = BG Pathum United, X = draw, 2 = Adelaide United.
Asian handicap applied to BG Pathum United.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBG Pathum United0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Adelaide United0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
AFC Champions League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Kuwait | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 | Al Faisaly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 | Muharraq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 | Al Wahda FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | Al-Jazira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | Phnom Penh Crown | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 10 | Home United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 11 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 12 | Persib Bandung | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | Kitchee | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | Kuching FA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 15 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | Svay Rieng | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | East Bengal II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 18 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 19 | Arkadag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 20 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 21 | Gangwon FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 22 | Nasaf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 23 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 24 | Viettel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 25 | Wofoo Tai Po | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 26 | Khalidiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 27 | Al-Nahda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 28 | Gol Gohar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | BG Pathum United | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
BG Pathum United host Adelaide United in the AFC Champions League Two (Group Stage - 2) at True BG Stadium, Patum Thani, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 13:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes BG Pathum United slight favourites, giving BG Pathum United a 41% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 33% for Adelaide United. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- World AFC Champions League Two
- Date
- Thursday, 15 October 2026, 13:15 WAT
- Venue
- True BG Stadium, Patum Thani
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 13:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United in?
The match is in the World AFC Champions League Two.
Where are BG Pathum United and Adelaide United in the table?
BG Pathum United are 20th and Adelaide United are 5th in the AFC Champions League Two.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: BG Pathum United 41%, draw 26%, Adelaide United 33%.
Will both teams score in BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.