Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Zabbar St. Patrick- 8'Goal: T. Moriceau
- Goal: M. Beerman24'
- 40'Yellow card: J. Micallef
- 45'Goal: M. Jovicic
HT 1-2
- Substitution: KauanOff: A. Drina51'
- 56'Substitution: T. MelilloOff: K. Fenech
- 56'Yellow card: T. Moriceau
- Substitution: K. DervisagicOff: R. Muric61'
- Substitution: S. OdeyOff: A. C. N Dri76'
- 78'Substitution: M. JovicicOff: N. Lancioni
- 81'Substitution: P. F. GouhonOff: N. Agius
- 81'Substitution: Vinicius KanuOff: M. Fontanella
- 82'VARVAR: VARGoal Disallowed - offside
- 88'Yellow card: Yellow card
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Fair odds 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.00Half time / full time result. 1 = Floriana, X = draw, 2 = Zabbar St. Patrick.
Asian handicap applied to Floriana.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPremier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hibernians | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 2 | Birzebbuga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 | Valletta FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Sliema Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | Hamrun Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Floriana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 10 | Mosta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | |
| 11 | Gzira United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | Marsaxlokk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Floriana | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Floriana host Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Floriana favourites, giving Floriana a 57% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 20% for Zabbar St. Patrick. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Floriana have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Zabbar St. Patrick have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Malta Premier League
- Date
- Monday, 26 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Venue
- Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick in?
The match is in the Malta Premier League.
Where are Floriana and Zabbar St. Patrick in the table?
Floriana are 9th and Zabbar St. Patrick are 5th in the Premier League.
Who will win Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Floriana 57%, draw 23%, Zabbar St. Patrick 20%.
Will both teams score in Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.