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TodaysPrediction

Birkirkara vs Floriana prediction

Birkirkara vs Floriana prediction for the Premier League on 22 Oct 2026: Floriana or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
BirkirkaraNo recent gamesFlorianaNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 1-1
Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

Match events

BirkirkaraFloriana
  1. Goal: F. Sasere4'
  2. 16'Goal: K. Dervisagic
  3. Yellow card: Frazan36'

HT 1-1

  1. 54'Substitution: Y. JbiraOff: T. Gudelj
  2. Yellow card: F. Sasere62'
  3. Substitution: Rafa SantosOff: K. Reid71'
  4. Substitution: L. PahamaOff: A. Djordjevic71'
  5. 79'Substitution: K. DervisagicOff: A. Drina
  6. 81'Yellow card: Yellow card
  7. Substitution: AmarildoOff: J. Busuttil84'
  8. 90+1'Substitution: S. OdeyOff: R. Muric

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Floriana or draw

Bet365 1.25

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Birkirkara30%
Fair odds 3.33
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Floriana42%
Fair odds 2.38

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.41
0.5 goalsOver92.3%Under7.7%
1.5 goalsOver72.7%Under27.3%
2.5 goalsOver47.4%Under52.6%
3.5 goalsOver25.7%Under74.3%
4.5 goalsOver11.8%Under88.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BirkirkaraFloriana
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
42%Overall58%

Last matches

Newest first
Birkirkara0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Floriana0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Hibernians2+14
2Birzebbuga1+23
3Valletta FC1+23
4Sliema Wanderers1+13
5Zabbar St. Patrick203
6Balzan FC101
7Birkirkara101
8Hamrun Spartans101
9Floriana2-11
10Mosta2-21
11Gzira United1-10
12Marsaxlokk1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBirkirkaraFloriana
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Birkirkara host Floriana in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Floriana slight favourites, giving Birkirkara a 30% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 42% for Floriana. Our tip is: Floriana or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Malta Premier League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Birkirkara vs Floriana kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Birkirkara vs Floriana in?

The match is in the Malta Premier League.

Where are Birkirkara and Floriana in the table?

Birkirkara are 7th and Floriana are 9th in the Premier League.

Who will win Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Our prediction is Floriana or draw. Win probabilities: Birkirkara 30%, draw 28%, Floriana 42%.

Will both teams score in Birkirkara vs Floriana?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Birkirkara vs Floriana?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Thu 22 Oct

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