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Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo prediction

Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 24 Oct 2026: VVV Venlo or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
DordrechtVVV Venlo
2 - 4Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-3
GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht

Match events

DordrechtVVV Venlo
  1. 8'Goal: Thomas JanssenAssist: Mohammed Odriss
  2. 17'Goal: Eanna Clancy
  3. 33'Goal: Ismail Oulad M'HandAssist: Mohammed Odriss
  4. 36'Yellow card: Raf VullersFoul
  5. Substitution: Yannis M'BembaOff: Senne Vugts45'
  6. Substitution: nicolas rossiOff: Robin van Asten45'

HT 0-3

  1. 50'Goal: Lars de Blok
  2. Goal: Lorenzo RiccioAssist: Robin van Asten56'
  3. Yellow card: Beni Christophe MpanzuDissent58'
  4. Substitution: Beni Christophe MpanzuOff: Lucas Gardenier61'
  5. 71'Substitution: Amir raisOff: Thomas Janssen
  6. 71'Substitution: Michael DavisOff: Lars de Blok
  7. Substitution: Siginho GerardoOff: J. de Bie75'
  8. Yellow card: Lorenzo RiccioFoul76'
  9. 77'Yellow card: Ismail Oulad M'HandFoul
  10. 80'Substitution: Luis GorlichOff: Raf Vullers
  11. 80'Substitution: Mattheos TsigkasOff: L. Schmidt
  12. Substitution: Jurre van AkenOff: Rocharnio Lenz84'
  13. 87'Substitution: Eanna ClancyOff: Tijn Joosten
  14. Goal: Rocharnio Lenz90+3'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

VVV Venlo or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-4

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Dordrecht31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · VVV Venlo45%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 0.51Expected goals (xG)1.04
  • 8Total shots13
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 4Shots inside the box9
  • 8Corners2
  • 3Offsides2
  • 19Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 428Passes302
  • 352Accurate passes200

Line-ups

Dordrecht

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28T. CoremansG
  2. 22J. van AkenD
  3. 4J. PinasD
  4. 3S. HenderikxD
  5. 5C. MpanzuD
  6. 8Senne VugtsM
  7. 6L. RiccioM
  8. 10A. OuarghiM
  9. 21M. VetkalM
  10. 11N. RossiM
  11. 9J. de BieF

Substitutes

  1. 14Bae Seung-GyunM
  2. 44B. HardleyD
  3. 2A. LechkarD
  4. 15Y. M'BembaD
  5. 16L. RománF
  6. 18Robin van AstenM
  7. 1Finn OldenstamG
  8. 17Rocharnio LenzM
  9. 13Dean HogervorstG
  10. 29Siginho GerardoF
  11. 51Lucas GardenierD
  12. 23L. WoudenbergD

Coach: Paul Nuijten

VVV Venlo

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13Y. SchoonderwaldtG
  2. 14Raf VullersD
  3. 4É. ClancyD
  4. 33G. BlancquartD
  5. 5Lars de BlokD
  6. 8Ismail Oulad M'HandM
  7. 6A. VerstraetenM
  8. 19Thomas JanssenM
  9. 24M. OdrissM
  10. 11N. Ait MouhouM
  11. 17L. SchmidtF

Substitutes

  1. 21L. GörlichD
  2. 43D. HendrixF
  3. 31M. DavisD
  4. 15Tijn JoostenD
  5. 34A. RaisF
  6. 22Zidane TaylanG
  7. 9M. TsigkasF
  8. 47M. van GrootelF
  9. 35Yousri El AnbriM
  10. 1T. DoornbuschG

Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.84
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.6%Under15.4%
2.5 goalsOver64.9%Under35.1%
3.5 goalsOver42.8%Under57.2%
4.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

DordrechtVVV Venlo
75%Form25%
20%Attack80%
95%Defence5%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
41%Overall59%

Last matches

Newest first
Dordrecht1W 0D 0L · last 1
WJong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht19 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie0-1
VVV Venlo0W 1D 0L · last 1
DVVV Venlo vs Jong AZ16 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie4-4

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDordrechtVVV Venlo
Played11
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)14
Goals against (avg)04
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Dordrecht host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes VVV Venlo slight favourites, giving Dordrecht a 31% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 45% for VVV Venlo. Our tip is: VVV Venlo or draw.

Dordrecht have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). VVV Venlo have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?

Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Dordrecht and VVV Venlo in the table?

Dordrecht are 11th and VVV Venlo are 2nd in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?

Our prediction is VVV Venlo or draw. Win probabilities: Dordrecht 31%, draw 24%, VVV Venlo 45%.

Will both teams score in Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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