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Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction

Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction for the Primera División on 30 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Primera División · Regular Season - 26
Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
1 - 0Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-0
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo

Match events

Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
  1. Yellow card: Luis RiverosFoul1'
  2. VAR: Sebastián CabreraCard upgrade confirmedVAR20'
  3. Red card: Sebastián CabreraViolent Conduct22'
  4. 27'Yellow card: Yerko LeivaFoul
  5. 45'Substitution: Yerko LeivaOff: Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
  6. 45'Substitution: Francisco Jose PozzoOff: Bayron Oyarzo

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Luis RiverosAssist: Francisco Salinas63'
  2. 64'Substitution: Yonathan AndíaOff: Vicente Lavín
  3. 64'Substitution: Maximiliano FernándezOff: Joaquín Soto
  4. 70'Yellow card: Brian Nicolás FerreyraFoul
  5. Substitution: Guido VadaláOff: Elvis Hernandez77'
  6. Substitution: Cristian ZavalaOff: Alejandro Camargo77'
  7. 79'Substitution: juan salomoniOff: Matías Campos López
  8. Substitution: Salvador CorderoOff: Matías Andrés Zepeda Flores86'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Coquimbo Unido57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Union La Calera18%
Fair odds 5.56

Match statistics

  • 41%Possession59%
  • 0.74Expected goals (xG)0.98
  • 9Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 3Shots off target5
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box7
  • 4Corners9
  • 1Offsides2
  • 13Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 321Passes447
  • 230Accurate passes383

Line-ups

Coquimbo Unido

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13D. SánchezG
  2. 17F. SalinasD
  3. 2B. GazzoloD
  4. 3M. FernándezD
  5. 16J. CornejoD
  6. 14S. CorderoM
  7. 7S. GalaniM
  8. 15C. ZavalaM
  9. 10G. VadaláM
  10. 28S. CabreraM
  11. 27L. RiverosF

Substitutes

  1. 8A. CamargoM
  2. 30B. ChandíaF
  3. 1G. FloresG
  4. 4E. HernándezD
  5. 12L. PrattoF
  6. 18P. RodriguezM
  7. 26L. SozaD
  8. 23M. ZepedaM
  9. 31Dixon PereiraF

Coach: Hernán Caputto

Union La Calera

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. AvellanedaG
  2. 25C. DíazD
  3. 15J. SalomoniD
  4. 27D. GutiérrezD
  5. 4C. GutiérrezD
  6. 2Y. AndíaM
  7. 8Y. LeivaM
  8. 9F. PozzoM
  9. 23R. PérezM
  10. 30Maximiliano FernandezM
  11. 11S. SáezF

Substitutes

  1. 21Valentino TorrenteM
  2. 29J. SotoM
  3. 7B. OyarzoF
  4. 32B. FerreyraF
  5. 19M. CamposF
  6. 22Benjamín AstudilloG
  7. 13Pablo Esteban Valero CifuentesM
  8. 3N. PalmaD
  9. 6V. LavinD

Coach: J. Armijo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
0%Form100%
25%Attack75%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
76%Overall24%

Last matches

Newest first
Coquimbo Unido0W 0D 1L · last 1
LNublense vs Coquimbo Unido25 Oct 2026 · Primera División2-1
Union La Calera1W 0D 0L · last 1
WUnion La Calera vs U. Catolica25 Oct 2026 · Primera División3-1

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Colo Colo2+54
2Universidad de Chile1+33
3D. La Serena1+23
4Union La Calera2+13
5Nublense1+13
6Coquimbo Unido203
7Palestino101
8Concepción1-20
9U. Catolica1-20
10Everton de Vina1-30
11Universidad de Concepcion1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCoquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)13
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Coquimbo Unido host Union La Calera in the Primera División (Regular Season - 26) at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 23:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Coquimbo Unido favourites, giving Coquimbo Unido a 57% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 18% for Union La Calera. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Coquimbo Unido have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Union La Calera have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Chile Primera División
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 23:00 WAT
Venue
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 23:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera in?

The match is in the Chile Primera División.

Where are Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera in the table?

Coquimbo Unido are 6th and Union La Calera are 4th in the Primera División.

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 57%, draw 25%, Union La Calera 18%.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera División on Fri 30 Oct

FTColo Colo 6-1 Universidad de Concepcion1 ✓

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