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Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction

Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction for the Brasileiro Série A on 17 Oct 2026: Botafogo to win (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Brasileiro Série A · Regular Season - 31
BotafogoNo recent gamesChapecoense-scNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Match events

BotafogoChapecoense-sc
  1. Goal: Tiquinho SoaresAssist: Matheus Martins7'
  2. 14'Yellow card: Kauan FariaFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno JúniorOff: Yannick Bolasie

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Hakim ZiyechOff: Cristian Medina55'
  2. 62'Substitution: RodrigoOff: Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
  3. 62'Substitution: MaxOff: Giovanni Augusto
  4. Substitution: domingos andradeOff: Allan65'
  5. Substitution: DaniloOff: Tiquinho Soares66'
  6. Substitution: Júnior SantosOff: Matheus Martins76'
  7. Substitution: Kauan ToledoOff: Álvaro Montoro76'
  8. 82'Substitution: Bruno Nunes De BarrosOff: Luis Eduardo Marques dos Santos
  9. 88'Substitution: Camilo Reijers de OliveiraOff: F. Rossi

Our verdict

1 ✓

Botafogo to win

Bet365 1.33

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Botafogo70%
Fair odds 1.43
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Chapecoense-sc12%
Fair odds 8.33

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 2.38Expected goals (xG)0.24
  • 20Total shots9
  • 11Shots on target0
  • 5Shots off target6
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 12Shots inside the box4
  • 4Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 9Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves10
  • 528Passes493
  • 472Accurate passes429

Line-ups

Botafogo

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12Gabriel BatistaG
  2. 2VitinhoD
  3. 5N. FerraresiD
  4. 21MarçalD
  5. 13Alex TellesD
  6. 25AllanM
  7. 8Danilo SantosM
  8. 22H. ZiyechM
  9. 10Álvaro MontoroM
  10. 11Matheus MartinsM
  11. 9Tiquinho SoaresF

Substitutes

  1. 7Júnior SantosF
  2. 6C. MedinaM
  3. 29PaulinhoD
  4. 59Kauan ToledoM
  5. 33G. JustinoD
  6. 4M. PonteD
  7. 91Domingos AndradeM
  8. 19Arthur CabralF
  9. 37K. BarriaF
  10. 77L. VillalbaF
  11. 90DaniloF
  12. 75HuguinhoM
  13. 17WarlesonG

Coach: Tite

Chapecoense-sc

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 98AndersonG
  2. 20Bruno TubarãoD
  3. 21Kauan Faria GomesD
  4. 3DomaD
  5. 91Bruno PachecoD
  6. 31GarcezM
  7. 88Yago FelipeM
  8. 27CamiloM
  9. 12FernandoM
  10. 10Giovanni AugustoF
  11. 9Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraF

Substitutes

  1. 11Y. BolasieF
  2. 16Bruno MatiasM
  3. 80Miguel CarvalhoM
  4. 23DuduD
  5. 4João PauloD
  6. 22MaxM
  7. 15Rafael ThyereD
  8. 39RodrigoF
  9. 30Matheus AurélioG
  10. 29F. RossiF

Coach: Rafael Lacerda

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.34 – 0.86
0.5 goalsOver95.9%Under4.1%
1.5 goalsOver82.9%Under17.1%
2.5 goalsOver62.0%Under38.0%
3.5 goalsOver39.7%Under60.3%
4.5 goalsOver21.9%Under78.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BotafogoChapecoense-sc
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
73%Expected goals27%
85%Overall15%

Last matches

Newest first
Botafogo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Chapecoense-sc0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Brasileiro Série A table

Brasileiro Série A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
11Coritiba33-1042
12Botafogo33-839
13Vasco DA Gama32-938
14Vitoria33-1338
15Gremio33-737
16Mirassol33-1037
17Corinthians33-636
18Internacional33-535
19Remo33-1529
20Chapecoense-sc32-3421
See full table ›

Top scorers

Brasileiro Série A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense3121
2PedroFlamengo3318
3Gabriel BarbosaSantos2515
4Kaio JorgeCruzeiro2612
5Samuel LinoFlamengo3211

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBotafogoChapecoense-sc
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileiro Série A (Regular Season - 31) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 22:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Botafogo clear favourites, giving Botafogo a 70% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 12% for Chapecoense-sc. Our tip is: Botafogo to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Brasileiro Série A
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 22:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 22:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc in?

The match is in the Brazil Brasileiro Série A.

Where are Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc in the table?

Botafogo are 12th and Chapecoense-sc are 20th in the Brasileiro Série A.

Who will win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our prediction is Botafogo to win. Win probabilities: Botafogo 70%, draw 18%, Chapecoense-sc 12%.

Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Brasileiro Série A on Sat 17 Oct

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