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Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction

Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction for the Serie B on 31 Oct 2026: Botafogo SP or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 36
Botafogo SPSport RecifeNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-1
Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto

Match events

Botafogo SPSport Recife
  1. Yellow card: Leandro MacielFoul22'
  2. 37'Substitution: Marcelo AjulOff: Willian Oliveira
  3. Goal: HygorAssist: Gabriel de Souza Inocencio39'
  4. 45'Substitution: Diego·HernandezOff: Marlon Douglas
  5. 45'Substitution: BielOff: Fernando Sobral
  6. 45+1'Goal: Pedro Henrique Perotti

HT 1-1

  1. 55'Yellow card: Mariano Andrés SosoDissent
  2. 64'Substitution: Pedro Henrique PerottiOff: Neto Pessoa
  3. Substitution: Felipe Vieira AugustoOff: Pedro Henrique69'
  4. Substitution: Leandro MacielOff: Matheus Sales70'
  5. Substitution: Arthur CaíkeOff: Rafael Gava70'
  6. Substitution: José Hugo Sousa dos SantosOff: Wesley Santos78'
  7. 79'Substitution: JuanOff: Claudinho
  8. Substitution: Thiago Henrique MoraesOff: Hygor88'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Botafogo SP or draw

Bet365 1.44

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Botafogo SP37%
Fair odds 2.70
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Sport Recife35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 0.94Expected goals (xG)0.88
  • 18Total shots11
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 13Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box9
  • 11Corners0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 12Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves0
  • 453Passes398
  • 382Accurate passes318

Line-ups

Botafogo SP

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Victor SouzaG
  2. 22Gabriel InocêncioD
  3. 2JonathanD
  4. 4VilarD
  5. 27DarlanD
  6. 26Felipe VieiraD
  7. 8Everton MorelliM
  8. 10Rafael GavaM
  9. 5L. MacielM
  10. 30Zé HugoM
  11. 9HygorF

Substitutes

  1. 13WallaceD
  2. 7KelvinF
  3. 19Henrique Lôvo TelesD
  4. 29Thiago HenriqueM
  5. 23Wesley Pinheiro SantosF
  6. 20Yuri Felipe Santos da ConceiçãoM
  7. 31Pedro HenriqueD
  8. 12JordanG
  9. 28Marco AntônioM
  10. 17Guilherme QueirózF
  11. 16Matheus SalesM
  12. 18Arthur CaíkeF

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Sport Recife

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 26Thiago CoutoG
  2. 27ClaudinhoD
  3. 5Marcelo BenevenutoD
  4. 28HabraãoD
  5. 76RaíD
  6. 88Fernando SobralM
  7. 29Willian OliveiraM
  8. 30Chrystian BarlettaM
  9. 20D. HernándezM
  10. 7Patrick de PaulaM
  11. 9PerottiF

Substitutes

  1. 80K. AndradeF
  2. 8Juan AlanoF
  3. 19Neto PessoaF
  4. 21BrennoG
  5. 96EdsonD
  6. 68AugustoD
  7. 25ClaysonM
  8. 6BielM
  9. 10C. de PenaM
  10. 31MarlonF
  11. 23Zé GabrielM
  12. 3Marcelo AjulD

Coach: M. Soso

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.21
0.5 goalsOver91.5%Under8.5%
1.5 goalsOver70.6%Under29.4%
2.5 goalsOver44.8%Under55.2%
3.5 goalsOver23.6%Under76.4%
4.5 goalsOver10.5%Under89.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Botafogo SPSport Recife
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first
Botafogo SP2W 0D 0L · last 2
WAvai vs Botafogo SP24 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-2WCRB vs Botafogo SP18 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-1
Sport Recife0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba35+447
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
4Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013
5Chrystian BarlettaSport Recife2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBotafogo SPSport Recife
Played20
Wins20
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.50
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets20
Failed to score00
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/20/0
Over 2.50/20/0
Over 3.50/20/0
BTTS – yes0/20/0

Match preview

Botafogo SP host Sport Recife in the Serie B (Regular Season - 36) at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Botafogo SP narrow favourites, giving Botafogo SP a 37% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 35% for Sport Recife. Our tip is: Botafogo SP or draw.

Botafogo SP have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?

Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Botafogo SP and Sport Recife in the table?

Botafogo SP are 12th and Sport Recife are 7th in the Serie B.

Who will win Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?

Our prediction is Botafogo SP or draw. Win probabilities: Botafogo SP 37%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 35%.

Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?

We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sat 31 Oct

FTVila Nova 2-2 Juventude1X ✓

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