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Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction

Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 21 Oct 2026: Atletico-MG or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finals
Atletico TorqueNo recent gamesAtletico-MG
2 - 0Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 0-0
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Match events

Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG
  1. 40'Yellow card: Vitor Fernandes Chaves TeixeiraFoul

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Pablo SilesFoul53'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Alan FrancoFoul
  3. Substitution: Pablo SilesOff: Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero59'
  4. 65'Substitution: Kevin CastañoOff: Mamady Cisse
  5. 65'Substitution: Reinier Jesus CarvalhoOff: Natanael Moreira Milouski
  6. 65'Substitution: Victor Hugo Gomes SilvaOff: Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
  7. Substitution: Facundo SilveraOff: Ezequiel Busquets70'
  8. Substitution: Franco PizzichilloOff: Luka Andrade70'
  9. 75'VARVAR: Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves VojnovićOriginal decision changed
  10. 75'Red card: Alan Franco
  11. 79'Substitution: Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteOff: Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa
  12. 82'Yellow card: Natanael Moreira MilouskiFoul
  13. 82'Substitution: Tomás CuelloOff: Igor Gomes
  14. Substitution: Salomón RodríguezOff: Juan Quintana82'
  15. Substitution: Diogo GuzmánOff: Sebastián Cáceres Carranza82'
  16. Goal: Kevin Isaias·SilvaAssist: Juan Quintana89'
  17. Goal: Gary KagelmacherAssist: Gonzalo Montes90+3'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Atletico-MG or draw

Bet365 1.36

67%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Atletico Torque33%
Fair odds 3.03
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Atletico-MG40%
Fair odds 2.50

Match statistics

  • 69%Possession31%
  • 3.58Expected goals (xG)0.61
  • 31Total shots4
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 13Shots off target2
  • 11Blocked shots0
  • 22Shots inside the box2
  • 9Corners1
  • 13Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 554Passes310
  • 463Accurate passes217

Line-ups

Atletico Torque

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1F. TorgnascioliG
  2. 17E. AgüeroD
  3. 3K. SilvaD
  4. 24G. KagelmacherD
  5. 26F. SilveraD
  6. 20G. MontesM
  7. 8P. SilesM
  8. 19D. GuzmánM
  9. 5F. PizzichilloF
  10. 9S. RodríguezF
  11. 10E. ObregónF

Substitutes

  1. 15E. BusquetsD
  2. 7Luka AndradeF
  3. 32S. CáceresM
  4. 23L. DuréM
  5. 2B. GutierrezD
  6. 18R. LecchiniF
  7. 16ignacio molinaF
  8. 21N. PerezD
  9. 30J. QuintanaF
  10. 13G. RodríguezG
  11. 27J. TaránM
  12. 11N. da SilvaF

Coach: Marcelo Méndez

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Gabriel DelfimG
  2. 21A. FrancoD
  3. 40VitãoD
  4. 13LyancoD
  5. 6Renan LodiD
  6. 8MayconM
  7. 15K. CastañoM
  8. 28T. CuelloM
  9. 30Victor HugoM
  10. 11BernardM
  11. 19ReinierF

Substitutes

  1. 39Mamady CisseM
  2. 14Vitor HugoD
  3. 5AlexsanderM
  4. 27A. MindaF
  5. 2NatanaelD
  6. 36K. PasciniD
  7. 92DuduF
  8. 31RobertG
  9. 23A. PreciadoD
  10. 25T. PérezM
  11. 17Igor GomesM
  12. 3Léo DuarteD

Coach: E. Domínguez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.43
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.1%Under24.9%
2.5 goalsOver50.6%Under49.4%
3.5 goalsOver28.6%Under71.4%
4.5 goalsOver13.7%Under86.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
47%Expected goals53%
45%Overall55%

Last matches

Newest first
Atletico Torque0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Atletico-MG1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAtletico-MG vs Coritiba17 Oct 2026 · Brasileiro Série A1-0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Atletico Torque1+23
2Atletico-MG1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAtletico TorqueAtletico-MG
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Atletico Torque host Atletico-MG in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Semi-finals) at Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 23:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Atletico-MG slight favourites, giving Atletico Torque a 33% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 40% for Atletico-MG. Our tip is: Atletico-MG or draw.

Atletico-MG have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
World CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 23:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?

Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 23:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG in?

The match is in the World CONMEBOL Sudamericana.

Where are Atletico Torque and Atletico-MG in the table?

Atletico Torque are 1st and Atletico-MG are 2nd in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?

Our prediction is Atletico-MG or draw. Win probabilities: Atletico Torque 33%, draw 27%, Atletico-MG 40%.

Will both teams score in Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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