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Atletico Grau vs ADT prediction

Atletico Grau vs ADT prediction for the Primera División on 23 Oct 2026: Atletico Grau to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Primera División · Clausura - 13
Atletico GrauNo recent gamesADT
1 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura

Match events

Atletico GrauADT
  1. Yellow card: Christian VasquezFoul6'
  2. VAR: Aldair VásquezPenalty confirmedVAR22'
  3. 23'Yellow card: Alejandro RamosFoul
  4. Penalty goal: Patricio Álvarez (pen)26'
  5. Red card: Christian Vasquez27'
  6. Substitution: Aldair VásquezOff: D. Rodríguez45'
  7. Yellow card: Gabriel AlfaroFoul45+2'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Ignacio TapiaFoul58'
  2. 61'Goal: Horacio BenincasaAssist: Aldair Rodríguez
  3. Substitution: Adrián FernándezOff: Mauro Da Luz68'
  4. Substitution: Diego BarretoOff: Paulo De La Cruz69'
  5. 69'Yellow card: Juan ValenciaHandball
  6. 73'Yellow card: Aldair RodríguezNot Retreating
  7. 76'Substitution: Said PeraltaOff: Jonathan Bauman
  8. 77'Yellow card: Said PeraltaDissent
  9. Substitution: Freddy OncoyOff: Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela82'
  10. Substitution: Gabriel AlfaroOff: Pablo Lavandeira82'
  11. 88'VARVAR: Jonathan BaumanGoal cancelled
  12. 88'Red card: Jonathan BaumanViolent Conduct
  13. 89'Yellow card: Joao RojasDissent
  14. 89'Substitution: Angel OjedaOff: J. Alvino
  15. 89'Substitution: Aldair RodríguezOff: Aylton Mazzo
  16. Yellow card: D. RodríguezFoul90+6'

Our verdict

1 ✗

Atletico Grau to win

Bet365 1.62

57%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Atletico Grau57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · ADT19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 25%Possession75%
  • 1.84Expected goals (xG)1.20
  • 10Total shots17
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots7
  • 7Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners4
  • 2Offsides2
  • 8Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 1Red cards1
  • 7Goalkeeper saves2
  • 160Passes486
  • 110Accurate passes432

Line-ups

Atletico Grau

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. ÁlvarezG
  2. 8C. VásquezD
  3. 27R. TapiaD
  4. 2L. AcevedoD
  5. 3I. TapiaD
  6. 25G. AlfaroD
  7. 7D. BarretoM
  8. 13F. OncoyM
  9. 5R. GuarderasM
  10. 20A. VásquezM
  11. 99A. FernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 21E. CorreaM
  2. 33J. CalderónG
  3. 96L. BenítesM
  4. 16J. AtaupillcoD
  5. 15P. LavandeiraM
  6. 4D. RodríguezD
  7. 24Yamir Ruidíaz MisitichF
  8. 77M. da LuzF
  9. 10P. de la CruzM

Coach: G. Ameli

ADT

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 30J. ValenciaG
  2. 98A. RamosD
  3. 99J. PereyraD
  4. 28J. SotoD
  5. 44H. BenincasaD
  6. 6Á. OjedaM
  7. 16L. PérezM
  8. 77Juan David Lucumí CueroM
  9. 7J. RojasM
  10. 22A. RodríguezM
  11. 24S. PeraltaF

Substitutes

  1. 33C. SolísG
  2. 15Josué AlvinoM
  3. 32J. BaumanF
  4. 26Jhojan GarcilazoF
  5. 25S. GarcíaM
  6. 27A. HidalgoM
  7. 18Aylton MazzoF
  8. 31J. NavarroD
  9. 3L. RugelD

Coach: V. Rivera

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.92
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
2.5 goalsOver50.9%Under49.1%
3.5 goalsOver28.8%Under71.2%
4.5 goalsOver13.9%Under86.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Atletico GrauADT
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
Atletico Grau0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

ADT0W 0D 1L · last 1
LClub Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT16 Oct 2026 · Primera División2-1

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Sport Huancayo2+46
2Cusco2+13
3Club Deportivo Los Chankas1+13
4FBC Melgar1+13
5Atletico Grau101
6ADT2-11
7UTC Cajamarca1-10
8Sporting Cristal1-20
9Alianza Atletico1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAtletico GrauADT
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Atletico Grau host ADT in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 21:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Atletico Grau favourites, giving Atletico Grau a 57% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 19% for ADT. Our tip is: Atletico Grau to win.

ADT have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Peru Primera División
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Venue
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Atletico Grau vs ADT?

Atletico Grau vs ADT kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 21:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Atletico Grau vs ADT in?

The match is in the Peru Primera División.

Where are Atletico Grau and ADT in the table?

Atletico Grau are 5th and ADT are 6th in the Primera División.

Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?

Our prediction is Atletico Grau to win. Win probabilities: Atletico Grau 57%, draw 24%, ADT 19%.

Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs ADT?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Grau vs ADT?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera División on Fri 23 Oct

FTUTC Cajamarca 1-2 FBC Melgar2 ✓

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