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Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction for the First League on 27 Oct 2026: Cherno More Varna to win (55%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday27October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
First League · Regular Season - 12
Cherno More VarnaNo recent gamesSeptemvri SofiaNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Tue 27 OctHT 2-0
Ticha Stadium, Varna

Match events

Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
  1. Goal: georgi lazarov15'
  2. Goal: Vasil Panayotov26'
  3. Yellow card: Idris·Bounaas29'
  4. Yellow card: Zhivko Atanasov35'
  5. 37'Substitution: nicolas fontaineOff: Pedro Igor
  6. 45+1'Yellow card: Martin Hristov

HT 2-0

  1. 46'Substitution: Bozidar Krasimirov PenchevOff: pedrinho
  2. 46'Substitution: Valentine OzornwaforOff: Stipe Vulikic
  3. 57'Yellow card: Vladimir Ivanov
  4. 67'Substitution: Nikola LlievOff: edney ribeiro
  5. Yellow card: Ertan Tombak73'
  6. Substitution: celso sidneyOff: Mohamed Achi Bouakline76'
  7. Substitution: Miguel barandasOff: Asen Donchev76'
  8. 79'Substitution: Kubrat OnasciOff: Sergeev petar gospodinov
  9. Yellow card: Ventsislav Kerchev82'
  10. Substitution: Berk BeyhanOff: David Teles85'
  11. Substitution: Vasil PanayotovOff: Georgi ventsislavov90'
  12. 90+5'Yellow card: Yellow card
  13. 90+6'Red card: Red card

Our verdict

1 ✓

Cherno More Varna to win

Bet365 1.70

55%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Cherno More Varna55%
Fair odds 1.82
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Septemvri Sofia19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 11Total shots10
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 8Shots off target9
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 3Corners4
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards1

Line-ups

Cherno More Varna

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 81K. TomovG
  2. 50E. TombakD
  3. 3Z. AtanasovD
  4. 5L. SquadroneD
  5. 37V. KerchevD
  6. 99I. BounaasM
  7. 24David TelesM
  8. 7M. BarandasF
  9. 71V. PanayotovM
  10. 10Celso SidneyF
  11. 19G. LazarovF

Substitutes

  1. 11M. AchiM
  2. 23M. BanevM
  3. 29B. BeyhanM
  4. 8A. DonchevF
  5. 22N. KostadinovM
  6. 44Nestorly lumbuD
  7. 77A. ManasievG
  8. 34K. MihaylovM
  9. 93G. VentsislavovD
  10. 13E. NyagolovD
  11. 9J. PadillaF

Coach: Ilian Iliev

Septemvri Sofia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12V. IvanovG
  2. 13K. ÖnaşçıM
  3. 26V. OzornwaforD
  4. 4M. HristovD
  5. 8B. PenchevM
  6. 33G. IvanovM
  7. 6Pedro FerreiraM
  8. 19Pedro IgorF
  9. 10N. IlievM
  10. 29F. HerardF
  11. 27André Filipe Rio LiberalF

Substitutes

  1. 24Z. AtanasovM
  2. 17N. FontaineF
  3. 3P. GospodinovD
  4. 23pedrinhoD
  5. 1A. RadkovG
  6. 7E. RibeiroF
  7. 28S. StoichkovF
  8. 20B. TomovskiD
  9. 25S. VulikićD

Coach: M. Kašćelan

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.60 – 0.83
0.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
1.5 goalsOver69.8%Under30.2%
2.5 goalsOver43.8%Under56.2%
3.5 goalsOver22.8%Under77.2%
4.5 goalsOver10.0%Under90.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Cherno More Varna0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Septemvri Sofia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

First League table

First League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1CSKA 19481+43
2Cherno More Varna1+23
3CSKA Sofia1+23
4Dunav Ruse1+23
5Arda Kardzhali101
6Botev Vratsa101
7Levski Sofia101
8Lokomotiv Sofia101
9Lokomotiv Plovdiv101
10Slavia Sofia101
11Ludogorets1-20
12Septemvri Sofia1-20
13Spartak Varna1-20
14Botev Plovdiv1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Cherno More Varna host Septemvri Sofia in the First League (Regular Season - 12) at Ticha Stadium, Varna, with kick-off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Cherno More Varna favourites, giving Cherno More Varna a 55% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 19% for Septemvri Sofia. Our tip is: Cherno More Varna to win.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Bulgaria First League
Date
Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Ticha Stadium, Varna

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia kicks off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia in?

The match is in the Bulgaria First League.

Where are Cherno More Varna and Septemvri Sofia in the table?

Cherno More Varna are 2nd and Septemvri Sofia are 12th in the First League.

Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our prediction is Cherno More Varna to win. Win probabilities: Cherno More Varna 55%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 19%.

Will both teams score in Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More First League on Tue 27 Oct

FTArda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia2 ✗

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