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Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction for the Saudi Pro League on 22 Oct 2026: Al Shabab or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-FatehAl ShababNo recent games
1 - 3Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 1-2
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Hasa

Match events

Al-FatehAl Shabab
  1. 16'Yellow card: Ali Al-BulaihiFoul
  2. 17'Goal: Ricardo MathiasAssist: Roger Martínez
  3. 31'Goal: Ali Al-Bulaihi
  4. Goal: Lukáš HaraslínAssist: Wilfried Kanga40'
  5. 44'Yellow card: Daniel PodenceFoul
  6. Substitution: Ziyad Maher Al JariOff: Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari45'
  7. 45'Substitution: Mohammed Al-ThainOff: Abdullah Ahmed Musa Al Hawsawi

HT 1-2

  1. 54'Goal: Ali Al-BulaihiAssist: Yacine Adli
  2. Substitution: Abdulaziz Al-SuwailemOff: Abdulelah Al Khaibari66'
  3. Substitution: Zaydou YoussoufOff: Faisal Abdulwahed66'
  4. 67'Substitution: Abdullah MatuqOff: Adel Abbas Qasem
  5. 68'Substitution: Yacine AdliOff: Ali Al-Asmari
  6. VAR: Ziyad Maher Al JariCard upgrade confirmedVAR71'
  7. Yellow card: Ziyad Maher Al JariFoul72'
  8. 72'Substitution: Abdulrahman Al-OboudOff: Daniel Podence
  9. Red card: Ziyad Maher Al Jari75'
  10. Substitution: Wilfried KangaOff: Fahad Al Zubaidi80'
  11. Substitution: Mourad BatnaOff: Saad Al-Shurafa86'
  12. 88'Substitution: Dhari Sayyar Al AnaziOff: Sultan Al-Anzi

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Al Shabab or draw

Bet365 1.36

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Al-Fateh30%
Fair odds 3.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Al Shabab45%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.07Expected goals (xG)3.43
  • 16Total shots25
  • 3Shots on target10
  • 8Shots off target8
  • 5Blocked shots7
  • 9Shots inside the box18
  • 8Corners7
  • 3Offsides1
  • 14Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 7Goalkeeper saves2
  • 285Passes446
  • 232Accurate passes384

Line-ups

Al-Fateh

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. ŠemperG
  2. 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
  3. 8M. LixandruD
  4. 17M. SaâdaneD
  5. 3K. BoatengD
  6. 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
  7. 11M. BatnaM
  8. 28Z. YoussoufM
  9. 6Ali Al HassanM
  10. 10L. HaraslínM
  11. 9W. KangaF

Substitutes

  1. 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
  2. 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
  3. 19R. KelderD
  4. 94Waleed Al AnziG
  5. 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
  6. 4Ziyad Al JariD
  7. 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
  8. 88Othman Al-OthmaM
  9. 49Saad Al SharfaF

Coach: J. Sellami

Al Shabab

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1M. DiawG
  2. 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
  3. 4T. JedvajD
  4. 55Ali Al BulayhiD
  5. 21Dhari Al AnaziD
  6. 37A. MatuqM
  7. 8J. BrownhillM
  8. 29Y. AdliM
  9. 11Daniel PodenceM
  10. 9Roger MartínezF
  11. 49Ricardo MathiasF

Substitutes

  1. 40Ali Al AsmariM
  2. 27Abdullah Al HawsawiD
  3. 12S. Al AnziD
  4. 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
  5. 6Awad Al NashriM
  6. 24Abdulrahman Al ObudF
  7. 97Mourad KhodariF
  8. 5Ali MakkiD
  9. 35Adel Abbas QasemM

Coach: T. Letsch

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.67
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.2%Under19.8%
2.5 goalsOver57.9%Under42.1%
3.5 goalsOver35.5%Under64.5%
4.5 goalsOver18.6%Under81.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-FatehAl Shabab
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
40%Overall60%

Last matches

Newest first
Al-Fateh1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAl-Hazm vs Al-Fateh15 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League2-3
Al Shabab0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Saudi Pro League table

Saudi Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
11Al Kholood11-912
12Al Riyadh11-1412
13Al-Fayha12-411
14Al-Hazm12-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12-1110
16Al-Fateh12-156
17Al Taawon12-145
18Abha11-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Saudi Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah913
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC108
3Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr108
4A. LacazetteNEOM127
5Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-FatehAl Shabab
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.51/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Al-Fateh host Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Hasa, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 15:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Al Shabab slight favourites, giving Al-Fateh a 30% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 45% for Al Shabab. Our tip is: Al Shabab or draw.

Al-Fateh have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 15:45 WAT
Venue
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Hasa

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 15:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab in?

The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.

Where are Al-Fateh and Al Shabab in the table?

Al-Fateh are 16th and Al Shabab are 10th in the Saudi Pro League.

Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Our prediction is Al Shabab or draw. Win probabilities: Al-Fateh 30%, draw 25%, Al Shabab 45%.

Will both teams score in Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Saudi Pro League on Thu 22 Oct

FTAl-Hazm 2-2 Al-Fayha1X ✓

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