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Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh prediction

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh prediction for the Saudi Pro League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Al-HazmNo recent gamesAl-FatehNo recent games
2 - 3Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 1-1
Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass

Match events

Al-HazmAl-Fateh
  1. Penalty goal: Sofiane Bendebka (pen)17'
  2. 23'Yellow card: Abdulelah Al KhaibariFoul
  3. 27'Goal: Wilfried KangaAssist: Mourad Batna
  4. Yellow card: Ahmed Al-ShamraniFoul43'

HT 1-1

  1. Goal: Abdulaziz Al-DweheAssist: Amir Saâyoud49'
  2. 57'Substitution: Zaydou YoussoufOff: Mihai Lixandru
  3. 57'Substitution: Sattam TumbuktiOff: Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
  4. Substitution: Ahmed Al-ShamraniOff: Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida66'
  5. Substitution: Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-YamiOff: Abdulaziz Al-Harbi75'
  6. 76'Yellow card: Kennedy BoatengFoul
  7. 80'Substitution: Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariOff: Fahad Al Zubaidi
  8. 80'Substitution: Faisal AbdulwahedOff: Abdulelah Al Khaibari
  9. Substitution: Abdulaziz Al-DweheOff: Aboubacar·Diakite85'
  10. Substitution: Sofiane BendebkaOff: Mory Konate85'
  11. Substitution: Amir SaâyoudOff: Mohammed Al Hamdani85'
  12. 88'Goal: Faisal AbdulwahedAssist: Mourad Batna
  13. 90+2'Substitution: Lukáš HaraslínOff: Robin Kelder
  14. 90+5'Goal: Mourad Batna

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Al-Hazm43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Al-Fateh31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 2.37Expected goals (xG)2.30
  • 12Total shots15
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 3Shots off target7
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box12
  • 3Corners10
  • 2Offsides2
  • 19Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 331Passes329
  • 282Accurate passes278

Line-ups

Al-Hazm

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 36J. StaněkG
  2. 4Sultan TankerD
  3. 17Bonheur MugishaD
  4. 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
  5. 82Abdulaziz Al-HarbiM
  6. 24A. BahM
  7. 28S. BendebkaM
  8. 27Ahmed Al NakhliM
  9. 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiF
  10. 10A. SayoudF
  11. 70Ahmed Al ShamraniF

Substitutes

  1. 23Ibrahim ZaidG
  2. 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
  3. 77M. Al HamdaniF
  4. 11Waleed Al ShanqitiF
  5. 5Mohammed IssaD
  6. 95Jaser AteeqD
  7. 3A. Ben HmidaD
  8. 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
  9. 8M. KonatéM

Coach: J. Kadri

Al-Fateh

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1A. ŠemperG
  2. 3K. BoatengD
  3. 17M. SaâdaneD
  4. 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
  5. 87Sattam Al TumbuktiM
  6. 6Ali Al HassanM
  7. 28Z. YoussoufM
  8. 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariM
  9. 11M. BatnaF
  10. 9W. KangaF
  11. 10L. HaraslínF

Substitutes

  1. 94Waleed Al AnziG
  2. 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
  3. 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
  4. 88Othman Al-OthmaM
  5. 49Saad Al SharfaF
  6. 19R. KelderD
  7. 8M. LixandruM
  8. 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
  9. 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD

Coach: J. Sellami

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.27
0.5 goalsOver94.0%Under6.0%
1.5 goalsOver77.2%Under22.8%
2.5 goalsOver53.5%Under46.5%
3.5 goalsOver31.3%Under68.7%
4.5 goalsOver15.5%Under84.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-HazmAl-Fateh
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Al-Hazm0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Al-Fateh0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Saudi Pro League table

Saudi Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
2Al-Nassr11+1728
3Al-Hilal Saudi FC10+2127
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq11+118
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
11Al Kholood11-912
12Al Riyadh11-1412
13Al-Hazm12-610
14Al-Faisaly FC11-810
15Al-Fayha11-78
16Al-Fateh11-136
17Al Taawon11-144
18Abha11-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Saudi Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah913
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC108
3Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr108
4A. LacazetteNEOM127
5Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-HazmAl-Fateh
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Al-Hazm host Al-Fateh in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 9) at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Al-Hazm slight favourites, giving Al-Hazm a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for Al-Fateh. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh in?

The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.

Where are Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh in the table?

Al-Hazm are 13th and Al-Fateh are 16th in the Saudi Pro League.

Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Al-Hazm 43%, draw 26%, Al-Fateh 31%.

Will both teams score in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Saudi Pro League on Thu 15 Oct

FTAl-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al KholoodX2 ✗FTAl Khaleej Saihat 2-0 Al-FayhaOver 1.5 ✓19:00Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-NassrX2

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