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Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction

Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction for the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 18 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 7
XerezNo recent gamesCiudad de LucenaNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Jerez

Match events

XerezCiudad de Lucena

    HT 0-0

    1. 88'Goal: Goal

    Our verdict

    Under 3.5 ✓

    Under 3.5

    Fair odds 1.27

    79%

    ✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

    Expected goals2.3

    Win probability

    1 · Xerez46%
    Fair odds 2.17
    X · Draw29%
    Fair odds 3.45
    2 · Ciudad de Lucena25%
    Fair odds 4.00

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.38 – 0.96
    0.5 goalsOver90.4%Under9.6%
    1.5 goalsOver67.8%Under32.2%
    2.5 goalsOver41.5%Under58.5%
    3.5 goalsOver20.9%Under79.1%
    4.5 goalsOver8.8%Under91.2%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    XerezCiudad de Lucena
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    59%Expected goals41%
    65%Overall35%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Xerez0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Ciudad de Lucena0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table

    Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Ciudad de Lucena1+13
    2Xerez1-10
    See full table ›

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatXerezCiudad de Lucena
    Played00
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Match preview

    Xerez host Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Group 4 - 7) at Jerez, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Xerez slight favourites, giving Xerez a 46% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 25% for Ciudad de Lucena. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

    On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Spain Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
    Date
    Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
    Venue
    Jerez

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena?

    Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena in?

    The match is in the Spain Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

    Where are Xerez and Ciudad de Lucena in the table?

    Xerez are 2nd and Ciudad de Lucena are 1st in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

    Who will win Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena?

    Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Xerez 46%, draw 29%, Ciudad de Lucena 25%.

    Will both teams score in Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena?

    We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena?

    We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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