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TodaysPrediction

Valerenga vs Tromso prediction

Valerenga vs Tromso prediction for the Eliteserien on 1 Nov 2026: Valerenga or draw (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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ValerengaTromso
4 - 0Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 2-0
Intility Arena, Oslo

Match events

ValerengaTromso
  1. 5'Yellow card: Vetle SkjaervikDissent
  2. 7'Red card: Vetle Skjaervik
  3. Penalty goal: Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter (pen)9'
  4. 10'Substitution: Morten BjorloOff: Leon Hien
  5. Yellow card: Ghayas ZahidArgument11'
  6. 11'Yellow card: Alexander WarnerydArgument
  7. Goal: Ole Christian Hammerfjell SaeterAssist: Dennis Gjengaar21'
  8. Yellow card: Dennis GjengaarFoul42'

HT 2-0

  1. Goal: Mathias GrundetjernAssist: Dennis Gjengaar50'
  2. Substitution: Ghayas ZahidOff: Odin Thiago Holm62'
  3. 65'Substitution: Daniel BrautOff: Heine Asen Larsen
  4. 65'Substitution: Lars Olden LarsenOff: Jesper Andreas Grundt
  5. Substitution: Ole Christian Hammerfjell SaeterOff: Gabriel Rajkovic70'
  6. 78'Substitution: Casper OyvannOff: Vince Osuji
  7. 78'Substitution: Sander Håvik InnværOff: Isak·Dahlqvist
  8. Goal: Gabriel RajkovicAssist: Petter Strand80'
  9. Substitution: Lucas Janus Ravn-HarenOff: Abdoulie Jatta84'
  10. Substitution: Fidel Brice AmbinaOff: Magnus Westergaard84'
  11. Substitution: Håkon SjåtilOff: Ivan Nasberg84'
  12. 90'Red card: Alexander Warneryd

Our verdict

1X ✓

Valerenga or draw

Bet365 1.50

63%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Valerenga39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Tromso37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 2.35Expected goals (xG)0.33
  • 18Total shots3
  • 9Shots on target0
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots0
  • 12Shots inside the box2
  • 3Corners2
  • 2Offsides0
  • 12Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards2
  • 0Goalkeeper saves5
  • 838Passes358
  • 782Accurate passes292

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1O. HedvallG
  2. 3H. SjåtilD
  3. 4A. Kiil OlsenD
  4. 55S. JarlD
  5. 26D. GjengaarD
  6. 24P. StrandM
  7. 29F. AmbinaM
  8. 11G. ZahidM
  9. 77L. HarenM
  10. 17M. GrundetjernF
  11. 90O. SaeterF

Substitutes

  1. 28M. WestergaardM
  2. 5K. TshiembeD
  3. 9G. RajkovicF
  4. 6V. HedenstadD
  5. 15O. HolmM
  6. 13S. LønningG
  7. 37I. NäsbergD
  8. 7H. NielsenF
  9. 49A. JattaD

Coach: J. Moesgaard

Tromso

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1J. HaugaardG
  2. 37S. InnværD
  3. 4V. SkjærvikD
  4. 25C. ØyvannD
  5. 30I. VådebuD
  6. 29A. WarnerydD
  7. 5D. EdvardssonM
  8. 11R. JenssenM
  9. 70M. BjørloM
  10. 7L. Olden LarsenF
  11. 9D. BrautF

Substitutes

  1. 21L. HienF
  2. 22H. LarsenM
  3. 12O. LauvliG
  4. 27M. MikkelsenD
  5. 15V. ErlienF
  6. 17I. DahlqvistM
  7. 24V. OsujiD
  8. 8J. GrundtM

Coach: J. Vik

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.61
0.5 goalsOver96.2%Under3.8%
1.5 goalsOver83.9%Under16.1%
2.5 goalsOver63.7%Under36.3%
3.5 goalsOver41.5%Under58.5%
4.5 goalsOver23.4%Under76.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ValerengaTromso
86%Form14%
67%Attack33%
80%Defence20%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first

Eliteserien table

Eliteserien table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
11Fredrikstad25-1529
12Sandefjord25-827
13Ham-Kam25-1827
14Aalesund25-1424
15Kristiansund BK25-2223
16Start25-2919
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eliteserien top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Amin ChiakhaRosenborg2417
2P. ChristiansenViking2415
3A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt2213
4K. LonebuMolde2213
5L. AlvheimKristiansund BK2312

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatValerengaTromso
Played22
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)0.52
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Valerenga host Tromso in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 25) at Intility Arena, Oslo, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Valerenga narrow favourites, giving Valerenga a 39% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 37% for Tromso. Our tip is: Valerenga or draw.

Valerenga have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Tromso have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Norway Eliteserien
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:15 WAT
Venue
Intility Arena, Oslo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Valerenga vs Tromso?

Valerenga vs Tromso kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Valerenga vs Tromso in?

The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.

Where are Valerenga and Tromso in the table?

Valerenga are 8th and Tromso are 6th in the Eliteserien.

Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?

Our prediction is Valerenga or draw. Win probabilities: Valerenga 39%, draw 24%, Tromso 37%.

Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Tromso?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valerenga vs Tromso?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eliteserien on Sun 1 Nov

FTBrann 3-2 MoldeX2 ✗FTKFUM Oslo 2-2 Ham-KamOver 1.5 ✓FTSarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 Kristiansund BK1 ✗FTStart 0-1 LillestromX2 ✓

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