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Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 26 Oct 2026: Union Santa Fe or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Union Santa FeNo recent gamesEstudiantes L.P.
3 - 1Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 0-1
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz

Match events

Union Santa FeEstudiantes L.P.
  1. 40'Own goal: Lucas Ayala (og)
  2. 44'Yellow card: Lucas PioviPersistent Infringement
  3. Substitution: Mauro Luna DialeOff: Mateo Peresutti45'
  4. Substitution: Tobias Javier RubioOff: Juan Pintado45'

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: Cristian TarragonaAssist: Juan Pintado51'
  2. Substitution: Matías Emiliano Rocha CalderónOff: Ignacio Isla56'
  3. Goal: Marcelo Estigarriba64'
  4. 66'Substitution: Adolfo GaichOff: Benjamin Sagues Barreiro
  5. 66'Substitution: Edwuin CetreOff: Brian Aguirre
  6. Substitution: Marcelo EstigarribaOff: Erik Ramirez74'
  7. 75'Yellow card: Leandro Gonzalez PirezFoul
  8. 77'Substitution: Eros Nazareno MancusoOff: Fabricio Pérez
  9. Substitution: Julián PalaciosOff: Victor Malcorra85'
  10. 88'Substitution: Eric MezaOff: Alexis Castro
  11. 89'Substitution: Lucas PioviOff: Lucas Alario
  12. Goal: Erik Ramirez90+6'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Union Santa Fe or draw

Bet365 1.44

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Union Santa Fe41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Estudiantes L.P.30%
Fair odds 3.33

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1.49Expected goals (xG)0.55
  • 15Total shots13
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 11Shots inside the box8
  • 6Corners6
  • 4Offsides2
  • 15Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 253Passes467
  • 174Accurate passes382

Line-ups

Union Santa Fe

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 21M. MansillaG
  2. 27T. RubioD
  3. 4M. RochaD
  4. 26J. LudueñaD
  5. 18L. AyalaD
  6. 20J. PalaciosM
  7. 34Mateo PeresuttiM
  8. 17J. MosqueiraM
  9. 22B. CuelloM
  10. 25C. TarragonaF
  11. 19M. EstigarribiaF

Substitutes

  1. 12B. PittónD
  2. 15J. PintadoD
  3. 43E. RamírezF
  4. 23A. SolariM
  5. 44T. FagioliD
  6. 38V. J. CerrudoF
  7. 31M. AguirreF
  8. 8E. GiacconeM
  9. 33I. IslaD
  10. 11M. Luna DialeM
  11. 10V. MalcorraM
  12. 40L. MeuliG

Coach: Leonardo Madelon

Estudiantes L.P.

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 16F. MusleraG
  2. 20E. MezaD
  3. 14L. GonzálezD
  4. 24T. PalaciosD
  5. 13G. BenedettiD
  6. 10T. PalaciosM
  7. 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
  8. 31B. GallegoM
  9. 40E. MancusoF
  10. 19A. GaichF
  11. 18E. CetréF

Substitutes

  1. 27L. AlarioF
  2. 22A. CastroM
  3. 1F. IacovichG
  4. 52B. KociubinskiM
  5. 34M. MonsalveM
  6. 4S. NúñezD
  7. 29F. Pérez EscuderoF
  8. 5M. RojoD
  9. 41Benjamin Sagues BarreiroF
  10. 7J. SosaM
  11. 17J. BurgosF
  12. 28B. AguirreF

Coach: Alexander Medina

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver91.3%Under8.7%
1.5 goalsOver70.0%Under30.0%
2.5 goalsOver44.1%Under55.9%
3.5 goalsOver23.0%Under77.0%
4.5 goalsOver10.1%Under89.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Union Santa FeEstudiantes L.P.
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Union Santa Fe0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Estudiantes L.P.0W 0D 1L · last 1
LEstudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo18 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-2

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3215
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2714
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3114
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUnion Santa FeEstudiantes L.P.
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Union Santa Fe host Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 14) at Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 23:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Union Santa Fe slight favourites, giving Union Santa Fe a 41% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 30% for Estudiantes L.P.. Our tip is: Union Santa Fe or draw.

Estudiantes L.P. have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 23:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 23:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P. in the table?

Union Santa Fe are 8th and Estudiantes L.P. are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our prediction is Union Santa Fe or draw. Win probabilities: Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 29%, Estudiantes L.P. 30%.

Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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