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TodaysPrediction

Sumqayıt vs Araz prediction

Sumqayıt vs Araz prediction for the Premyer Liqa on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
SumqayıtNo recent gamesArazNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-1
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit

Match events

SumqayıtAraz
  1. 21'Substitution: I. ParoOff: Bruno Franco
  2. 32'Goal: A. Fernandez

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: R. Vasquez62'
  2. 65'Substitution: C. BoliOff: R. Muradov
  3. 80'Substitution: A. FernandezOff: C. Nuriyev
  4. Goal: N. Ahmadzada82'
  5. Substitution: E. MustafaevOff: R. Kehat84'
  6. Yellow card: Lucas Black84'
  7. 84'Yellow card: A. Salyanskiy
  8. 85'Yellow card: A. Salyanskiy
  9. 85'Red card: A. Salyanskiy
  10. Substitution: R. VasquezOff: A. Suleymali86'
  11. Yellow card: Keffel88'
  12. Substitution: N. AhmadzadaOff: I. Barker90+1'
  13. Substitution: M. BangreOff: N. Orucov90+1'
  14. Yellow card: A. Suleymali90+4'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Sumqayıt42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Araz31%
Fair odds 3.23

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.22
0.5 goalsOver93.2%Under6.8%
1.5 goalsOver75.0%Under25.0%
2.5 goalsOver50.4%Under49.6%
3.5 goalsOver28.4%Under71.6%
4.5 goalsOver13.6%Under86.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SumqayıtAraz
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Sumqayıt0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Araz0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premyer Liqa table

Premyer Liqa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Sumqayıt2+14
2Safa Baku101
3Araz1-10
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSumqayıtAraz
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sumqayıt host Araz in the Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 8) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sumqayıt slight favourites, giving Sumqayıt a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for Araz. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sumqayıt vs Araz?

Sumqayıt vs Araz kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sumqayıt vs Araz in?

The match is in the Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa.

Where are Sumqayıt and Araz in the table?

Sumqayıt are 1st and Araz are 3rd in the Premyer Liqa.

Who will win Sumqayıt vs Araz?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Sumqayıt 42%, draw 27%, Araz 31%.

Will both teams score in Sumqayıt vs Araz?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sumqayıt vs Araz?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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