Championship · Regular Season - 13
Match events
Livingston- 2'Goal: S. PittmanAssist: B. Anderson
- 22'Yellow card: S. May
- 41'Goal: R. MuirheadAssist: S. May
HT 0-2
- 49'Goal: R. MuirheadAssist: S. May
- Substitution: S. BrightOff: G. Buchanan55'
- Substitution: A. ShinnieOff: H. Kargbo56'
- Substitution: M. GilliesOff: L. Lloyd56'
- 63'Yellow card: R. Muirhead
- Substitution: L. HodgkissOff: L. O'Donnell70'
- Substitution: G. StevensonOff: O. MacIntyre70'
- 73'Substitution: S. MayOff: A. Denholm
- 73'Substitution: B. AndersonOff: T. Sinclair
- 75'Substitution: C. MontanoOff: S. Blaney
- 88'Substitution: R. MuirheadOff: J. Wilkie
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.30
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 0.95 – 1.63Half time / full time result. 1 = Stenhousemuir, X = draw, 2 = Livingston.
Asian handicap applied to Stenhousemuir.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstStenhousemuir0W 0D 1L · last 1Livingston1W 0D 0L · last 1Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Livingston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 5 | Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 7 | Queen's Park | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 8 | Raith Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 9 | Stenhousemuir | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Stenhousemuir | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Stenhousemuir host Livingston in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Livingston favourites, giving Stenhousemuir a 21% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 53% for Livingston. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Stenhousemuir have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Livingston have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Scotland Championship
- Date
- Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Venue
- Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston in?
The match is in the Scotland Championship.
Where are Stenhousemuir and Livingston in the table?
Stenhousemuir are 9th and Livingston are 2nd in the Championship.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Stenhousemuir 21%, draw 26%, Livingston 53%.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.