Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 6
Match events
Baku Sportinq- Penalty goal: E. Aliyev (pen)27'
- Goal: E. Aliyev40'
HT 2-0
- 50'Goal: S. Huseynli
- Goal: M. Niambele70'
- Goal: N. Osmanov78'
- 84'Goal: A. Babayi
- Goal: Goal90+4'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Fair odds 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-2
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.29Half time / full time result. 1 = Şimal, X = draw, 2 = Baku Sportinq.
Asian handicap applied to Şimal.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstŞimal1W 0D 0L · last 1Baku Sportinq0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Birinci Dasta table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şimal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 | |
| 3 | MOIK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Səbail | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | Şahdağ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | Xankəndi FK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 7 | Mingəçevir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | |
| 8 | Karvan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 9 | Baku Sportinq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 10 | Zaqatala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Şimal | Baku Sportinq |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Şimal host Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta (Regular Season - 6), with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 12:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Şimal slight favourites, giving Şimal a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for Baku Sportinq. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Şimal have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Azerbaijan Birinci Dasta
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 12:00 WAT
- Venue
- To be confirmed
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq in?
The match is in the Azerbaijan Birinci Dasta.
Where are Şimal and Baku Sportinq in the table?
Şimal are 1st and Baku Sportinq are 9th in the Birinci Dasta.
Who will win Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Şimal 43%, draw 26%, Baku Sportinq 31%.
Will both teams score in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.