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Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction for the Super League on 17 Oct 2026: Shandong Luneng or draw (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Super League · Regular Season - 28
Shandong LunengNo recent gamesHangzhou GreentownNo recent games
5 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 3-0
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan

Match events

Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
  1. 17'Red card: Xu JunchiSerious foul
  2. Goal: Guilherme MadrugaAssist: Cryzan20'
  3. 23'Substitution: M. TolicOff: Tong Lei
  4. VAR: Y. LiGoal Disallowed - offsideVAR33'
  5. Yellow card: Mijit MewlanUnsportsmanlike conduct37'
  6. Goal: Xie WennengAssist: V. Qazaishvili40'
  7. Goal: V. QazaishviliAssist: Cryzan45+5'

HT 3-0

  1. 46'Substitution: Wu WeiOff: Cheng Jin
  2. 53'VARVAR: Y. WangGoal Disallowed - offside
  3. Substitution: Y. LiOff: Memet Imran61'
  4. Substitution: Mijit MewlanOff: Chen Pu61'
  5. Yellow card: Huang ZhengyuFoul64'
  6. 76'Substitution: Sun GuowenOff: Wang Shiqin
  7. Substitution: Xie WennengOff: Shi Songchen78'
  8. Substitution: Huang ZhengyuOff: Chen Zeshi78'
  9. Goal: V. QazaishviliAssist: Chen Pu79'
  10. 81'Yellow card: Liu HaofanFoul
  11. Missed penalty: Cryzan83'
  12. 88'Red card: Cheng JinUnsportsmanlike conduct
  13. Substitution: Yin JiaxiOff: Peng Xiao89'
  14. Goal: Cryzan90+2'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Shandong Luneng or draw

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-0

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · Shandong Luneng54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Hangzhou Greentown25%
Fair odds 4.00

Match statistics

  • 50%Possession50%
  • 16Total shots15
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 7Shots off target6
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 10Shots inside the box14
  • 1Corners6
  • 1Offsides3
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards1
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 354Passes345
  • 296Accurate passes284
  • 84%Pass accuracy82%

Line-ups

Shandong Luneng

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 14Dalei WangG
  2. 8Guilherme MadrugaD
  3. 3Peng XiaoD
  4. 23Pedro ÁlvaroD
  5. 28Maiwulang MijitiM
  6. 22Yuanyi LiM
  7. 35Zhengyu HuangM
  8. 11Yang LiuM
  9. 7Wenneng XieF
  10. 9CryzanF
  11. 10Valeri QazaishviliF

Substitutes

  1. 38Memet ImranM
  2. 29Chen PuF
  3. 36Qiwei LiuG
  4. 1Yu JinyongG
  5. 32Qihang SunG
  6. 15Songchen ShiD
  7. 5Zheng ZhengD
  8. 37Zeshi ChenM
  9. 34Jiaxi YinM
  10. 41Junwei LuF

Hangzhou Greentown

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Bo ZhaoG
  2. 25Xu JunchiD
  3. 5Liu HaofanD
  4. 36Lucas PossignoloD
  5. 26Guowen SunD
  6. 14Wei WuM
  7. 4Jin-seob ParkM
  8. 7Qianglong TaoM
  9. 10Marko TolićM
  10. 28Alexandru MitrițăM
  11. 11Wang YudongF

Substitutes

  1. 16Tong LeiD
  2. 22Cheng JinM
  3. 1Chunyu DongG
  4. 38Zhang AihuiD
  5. 17Shiqin WangD
  6. 3Wang ChangD
  7. 8Alexander N'DoumbouM
  8. 6Bao ShengxinM
  9. 29Jiaqi ZhangM
  10. 18Hao FangF
  11. 27Felippe CardosoF
  12. 9Di GaoF

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.29 – 1.53
0.5 goalsOver97.8%Under2.2%
1.5 goalsOver89.4%Under10.6%
2.5 goalsOver73.4%Under26.6%
3.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
4.5 goalsOver33.6%Under66.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Shandong Luneng0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Hangzhou Greentown0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Super League table

Super League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Shandong Luneng1+53
2Tianjin Teda1+13
3Henan Jianye1-10
4Hangzhou Greentown1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatShandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Shandong Luneng host Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League (Regular Season - 28) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shandong Luneng favourites, giving Shandong Luneng a 54% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 25% for Hangzhou Greentown. Our tip is: Shandong Luneng or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 and a 71% chance that both teams score.

Competition
China Super League
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown in?

The match is in the China Super League.

Where are Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown in the table?

Shandong Luneng are 1st and Hangzhou Greentown are 4th in the Super League.

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Our prediction is Shandong Luneng or draw. Win probabilities: Shandong Luneng 54%, draw 21%, Hangzhou Greentown 25%.

Will both teams score in Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

We estimate a 71% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

We estimate a 73% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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