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TodaysPrediction

San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. prediction

San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. prediction for the Reserve League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026

Match events

San Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
  1. Goal: Goal38'

HT 1-0

  1. 69'Goal: Goal

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Fair odds 1.47

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · San Lorenzo Res.46%
Fair odds 2.17
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Sarmiento Res.25%
Fair odds 4.00

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 0.96
0.5 goalsOver90.4%Under9.6%
1.5 goalsOver67.8%Under32.2%
2.5 goalsOver41.5%Under58.5%
3.5 goalsOver20.9%Under79.1%
4.5 goalsOver8.8%Under91.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

San Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
65%Overall35%

Last matches

Newest first
San Lorenzo Res.0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Sarmiento Res.0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Reserve League table

See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

San Lorenzo Res. host Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League (Clausura - 13), with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes San Lorenzo Res. slight favourites, giving San Lorenzo Res. a 46% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 25% for Sarmiento Res.. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Reserve League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
To be confirmed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. in?

The match is in the Argentina Reserve League.

Where are San Lorenzo Res. and Sarmiento Res. in the table?

San Lorenzo Res. are 14th and Sarmiento Res. are 15th in the Reserve League.

Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: San Lorenzo Res. 46%, draw 29%, Sarmiento Res. 25%.

Will both teams score in San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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