Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 6
Match events
SəbailHT 0-0
- Goal: A. Nasibov50'
- 69'Yellow card: P. Azadov
- 69'Red card: P. Azadov
Our verdict
Səbail or draw
Bet365 1.40
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.28Half time / full time result. 1 = Şahdağ, X = draw, 2 = Səbail.
Asian handicap applied to Şahdağ.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstŞahdağ0W 0D 1L · last 1Səbail1W 0D 0L · last 1Birinci Dasta table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şimal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 | |
| 3 | MOIK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Səbail | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | Şahdağ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | Xankəndi FK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 7 | Mingəçevir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | |
| 8 | Karvan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 9 | Baku Sportinq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 10 | Zaqatala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Şahdağ | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Şahdağ host Səbail in the Birinci Dasta (Regular Season - 6), with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 12:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Səbail narrow favourites, giving Şahdağ a 34% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 37% for Səbail. Our tip is: Səbail or draw.
Şahdağ have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Səbail have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Azerbaijan Birinci Dasta
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 12:00 WAT
- Venue
- To be confirmed
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Şahdağ vs Səbail kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Şahdağ vs Səbail in?
The match is in the Azerbaijan Birinci Dasta.
Where are Şahdağ and Səbail in the table?
Şahdağ are 5th and Səbail are 4th in the Birinci Dasta.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Our prediction is Səbail or draw. Win probabilities: Şahdağ 34%, draw 29%, Səbail 37%.
Will both teams score in Şahdağ vs Səbail?
We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Şahdağ vs Səbail?
We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.