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TodaysPrediction

Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction

Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction for the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
RiedNo recent gamesAustria ViennaNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 2-1
Josko Arena, Reed

Match events

RiedAustria Vienna
  1. 18'Goal: Johannes EggesteinAssist: Manfred Fischer
  2. Goal: Stefan SchwabAssist: Martin Rasner23'
  3. Yellow card: J. RhodesFoul25'
  4. Goal: Philipp PomerAssist: Moegamat Yusuf Maart28'
  5. 45'Substitution: Sanel SaljicOff: Julian Hettwer

HT 2-1

  1. Yellow card: Ante BajicFoul55'
  2. Substitution: Isaac ThelinOff: Evan Eghosa Aisowieren66'
  3. Substitution: Fabian Hubert RossdorferOff: Dejan Radonjic66'
  4. Substitution: Oliver SorgOff: J. Rhodes66'
  5. Yellow card: Stefan SchwabFoul68'
  6. 71'Substitution: Lee Tae-seokOff: Matteo Schablas
  7. Substitution: Martin RasnerOff: Lukas Malicsek73'
  8. 75'Substitution: Vasilije MarkovicOff: Kelvin Owusu Boateng
  9. Yellow card: Moegamat Yusuf MaartFoul79'
  10. Penalty goal: Isaac Thelin (pen)82'
  11. Substitution: Ante BajicOff: Joris Boguo83'
  12. 90'Substitution: Manfred FischerOff: Florian Wustinger
  13. 90+2'Goal: Johannes Eggestein

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Ried42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Austria Vienna31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 2.94Expected goals (xG)1.63
  • 10Total shots13
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 0Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners10
  • 0Offsides1
  • 7Fouls11
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 320Passes460
  • 242Accurate passes375

Line-ups

Ried

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1A. LeitnerG
  2. 18F. RossdorferD
  3. 28S. ChukwudiD
  4. 30O. SteurerD
  5. 17P. PomerD
  6. 8M. RasnerM
  7. 6Y. MaartM
  8. 22S. SchwabM
  9. 12A. BajićF
  10. 47Evan Eghosa AisowierenF
  11. 11J. RhodesF

Substitutes

  1. 29L. CapanD
  2. 13H. HankičG
  3. 92I. Kiese ThelinF
  4. 4L. MalicsekD
  5. 10J. NasraweM
  6. 5D. RadonjicD
  7. 9N. SissokoF
  8. 7O. SorgD
  9. 15J. BoguoF

Coach: M. Despotović

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
  2. 26R. RanftlD
  3. 46J. HandlD
  4. 3I. BuhariD
  5. 17Lee Tae-SeokD
  6. 5V. MüllerM
  7. 7V. MarkovicM
  8. 40Daniel NnodimM
  9. 30M. FischerM
  10. 10S. SaljicM
  11. 19J. EggesteinF

Substitutes

  1. 22F. WustingerM
  2. 44V. ToiflD
  3. 21Matteo SchablasM
  4. 6Philipp MaybachM
  5. 16Lee Kang-HeeM
  6. 99M. KosG
  7. 20J. HettwerF
  8. 42D. EwemadeF
  9. 14K. BoatengF

Coach: S. Helm

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.28
0.5 goalsOver94.0%Under6.0%
1.5 goalsOver77.1%Under22.9%
2.5 goalsOver53.3%Under46.7%
3.5 goalsOver31.0%Under69.0%
4.5 goalsOver15.4%Under84.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RiedAustria Vienna
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Ried0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Austria Vienna0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
11Austria Vienna11-127
12Wolfsberger AC11-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1H. TabakovićRed Bull Salzburg97
2C. LangLask Linz117
3D. WeixelbraunAustria Lustenau106
4S. AdeniranLask Linz86
5C. HoffmannTSV Hartberg06

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRiedAustria Vienna
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Ried host Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) at Josko Arena, Reed, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 18:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Ried slight favourites, giving Ried a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for Austria Vienna. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Austria Bundesliga
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Venue
Josko Arena, Reed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Ried vs Austria Vienna?

Ried vs Austria Vienna kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Ried vs Austria Vienna in?

The match is in the Austria Bundesliga.

Where are Ried and Austria Vienna in the table?

Ried are 6th and Austria Vienna are 11th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win Ried vs Austria Vienna?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Ried 42%, draw 27%, Austria Vienna 31%.

Will both teams score in Ried vs Austria Vienna?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ried vs Austria Vienna?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct

FTAustria Lustenau 0-4 Lask Linz2 ✓

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