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Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction for the Premier Soccer League on 13 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 8
Richards BayNo recent gamesMamelodi SundownsNo recent games
1 - 4Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 1-2
Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze), Richards Bay

Match events

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
  1. 18'Goal: T. MatthewsAssist: S. Ndlovu
  2. Goal: L. Mabuya22'
  3. 37'Goal: I. RaynersAssist: T. Matthews

HT 1-2

  1. 48'Goal: I. Rayners
  2. 59'Goal: F. BasadienAssist: T. Mokoena
  3. 64'Substitution: T. ZwaneOff: S. Ndlovu
  4. 64'Substitution: N. SantosOff: C. Mailula
  5. 64'Substitution: T. CeleOff: T. Mokoena
  6. 64'Substitution: A. van WykOff: T. Matthews
  7. Substitution: W. NgemaOff: S. Nzama68'
  8. Substitution: L. MahalaOff: N. Xulu68'
  9. Substitution: W. NgidiOff: L. Khumalo68'
  10. 79'Yellow card: Fawaaz basadienFoul
  11. 80'Substitution: M. MvalaOff: M. Khoza
  12. Substitution: S. MntungwaOff: S. Gwele87'
  13. Substitution: O. MbamboOff: M. Mthembu87'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-4

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Richards Bay13%
Fair odds 7.69
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Mamelodi Sundowns66%
Fair odds 1.52

Match statistics

  • 25%Possession75%
  • 0.51Expected goals (xG)1.86
  • 5Total shots22
  • 3Shots on target9
  • 2Shots off target10
  • 0Blocked shots3
  • 3Shots inside the box15
  • 2Corners7
  • 1Offsides3
  • 7Fouls17
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves2
  • 266Passes769
  • 205Accurate passes721

Line-ups

Richards Bay

Starting XI

  1. 1I. OtienoG
  2. 22L. MabuyaD
  3. 25S. McinekaD
  4. 49N. MkhabelaD
  5. 37S. GweleD
  6. 77L. KhumaloM
  7. 24S. GumedeM
  8. 12S. GumbiM
  9. 20M. MthembuF
  10. 27N. XuluF
  11. 19S. NzamaF

Substitutes

  1. 16N. NgcoboG
  2. 3S. Mntungwa
  3. 5T. SikhakhaneD
  4. 35T. Ndelu
  5. 6K. MncubeM
  6. 31O. Mbambo
  7. 33W. NgemaM
  8. 14L. Mahala
  9. 26W. NgidiF

Mamelodi Sundowns

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 30R. WilliamsG
  2. 22T. MatuludiD
  3. 42M. KhozaD
  4. 3K. NdamaneD
  5. 23F. BasadienD
  6. 4T. MokoenaM
  7. 38S. Ndlovu
  8. 33C. MailulaM
  9. 11M. AllendeM
  10. 17T. MatthewsM
  11. 13I. RaynersF

Substitutes

  1. 31R. GossG
  2. 40M. MvalaD
  3. 27T. MorenaD
  4. 5D. LungaD
  5. 18T. ZwaneM
  6. 10N. SantosM
  7. 19T. CeleM
  8. 12B. LeonF
  9. 29A. van WykF

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.80 – 2.05
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
28%Expected goals72%
16%Overall84%

Last matches

Newest first
Richards Bay0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mamelodi Sundowns0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Soccer League table

Premier Soccer League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
11Polokwane City9-38
12TS Galaxy9-57
13Durban City9-57
14Siwelele9-76
15Marumo Gallants9-85
16Richards Bay9-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier Soccer League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1T. NgwenyaAmazulu88
2N. XuluRichards Bay95
3T. MoremiOrlando Pirates75
4M. ZikakayoMilford FC104
5I. RaynersMamelodi Sundowns74

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRichards BayMamelodi Sundowns
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Richards Bay host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League (Regular Season - 8) at Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze), Richards Bay, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 18:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mamelodi Sundowns clear favourites, giving Richards Bay a 13% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 66% for Mamelodi Sundowns. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
South Africa Premier Soccer League
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Venue
Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze), Richards Bay

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns in?

The match is in the South Africa Premier Soccer League.

Where are Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns in the table?

Richards Bay are 16th and Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st in the Premier Soccer League.

Who will win Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Richards Bay 13%, draw 21%, Mamelodi Sundowns 66%.

Will both teams score in Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Soccer League on Tue 13 Oct

FTDurban City 1-2 Amazulu1X ✗FTKaizer Chiefs 1-1 Stellenbosch12 ✗FTOrlando Pirates 3-0 TS GalaxyOver 1.5 ✓

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