Match events
- Goal: E. AzkuneAssist: J. Pola13'
- Yellow card: L. SangalliFoul20'
- Yellow card: E. AzkuneFoul32'
HT 1-0
- 46'Substitution: G. BerzalOff: A. Godoy
- 54'Yellow card: R. LuceroFoul
- 60'Substitution: P. ParrillaOff: K. Presa
- 63'Goal: A. GodoyAssist: P. Haro
- Goal: J. PolaAssist: A. Martin70'
- Substitution: M. MancisidorOff: B. Gaubeka72'
- Substitution: U. AlbizuaOff: A. Mateo72'
- 74'Substitution: A. PalmaOff: A. Gallar
- 74'Substitution: P. HaroOff: S. Perez
- 79'Yellow card: K. PresaFoul
- 81'Substitution: P. MorenoOff: H. Pascual
- Goal: U. GarciaAssist: A. Martin82'
- Substitution: A. MartinOff: J. de la Mata85'
- Substitution: A. GalarzaOff: P. Ruiz85'
- Goal: L. SangalliAssist: A. Mateo90+2'
- Substitution: E. AzkuneOff: M. Hussaini Muhammad90+3'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.29Half time / full time result. 1 = Real Unión, X = draw, 2 = Lugo.
Asian handicap applied to Real Unión.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNo finished matches yet.
No finished matches yet.
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Unión | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 2 | Lugo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Real Unión | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Real Unión host Lugo in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 9) at Stadium Gal, Irun, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Real Unión narrow favourites, giving Real Unión a 37% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 36% for Lugo. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Date
- Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stadium Gal, Irun
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Real Unión vs Lugo?
Real Unión vs Lugo kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Real Unión vs Lugo in?
The match is in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Where are Real Unión and Lugo in the table?
Real Unión are 1st and Lugo are 2nd in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Who will win Real Unión vs Lugo?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Real Unión 37%, draw 27%, Lugo 36%.
Will both teams score in Real Unión vs Lugo?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Unión vs Lugo?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

