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Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman prediction

Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman prediction for the Primera Nacional on 24 Oct 2026: Quilmes or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes

Match events

QuilmesSan Martin Tucuman
  1. 7'Goal: N. CastroAssist: L. Arfaras
  2. 26'Yellow card: G. Rodriguez
  3. Penalty goal: A. Spetale (pen)28'
  4. 29'Yellow card: A. Veliez
  5. 40'Yellow card: E. Parnisari
  6. Yellow card: J. Yangali43'

HT 1-1

  1. 46'Substitution: A. GranerosOff: D. Diellos
  2. Substitution: J. YangaliOff: G. Vazquez58'
  3. 63'Substitution: M. GarciaOff: G. Rodriguez
  4. 63'Substitution: A. VeliezOff: A. Paz
  5. 63'Substitution: L. ArfarasOff: J. Juarez
  6. Substitution: M. VallejosOff: S. Rodriguez71'
  7. Substitution: T. OrtegaOff: M. Fernandez71'
  8. 76'Yellow card: N. Gallardo
  9. Substitution: A. BatistaOff: N. Colazo78'
  10. Substitution: J. NovilloOff: L. Romeo78'
  11. 80'Substitution: N. CastroOff: G. Carabajal
  12. Penalty goal: A. Spetale (pen)85'
  13. 90+3'Red card: Red card

Our verdict

1X ✓

Quilmes or draw

Bet365 1.28

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Quilmes46%
Fair odds 2.17
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · San Martin Tucuman26%
Fair odds 3.85

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.36 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver90.1%Under9.9%
1.5 goalsOver67.1%Under32.9%
2.5 goalsOver40.7%Under59.3%
3.5 goalsOver20.3%Under79.7%
4.5 goalsOver8.5%Under91.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

QuilmesSan Martin Tucuman
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
Quilmes0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

San Martin Tucuman0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Primera Nacional table

Primera Nacional table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1All Boys2+26
2Quilmes2+26
3Deportivo Madryn1+33
4Chaco For Ever1+33
5Godoy Cruz1+33
6Midland1+33
7Deportivo Maipu1+23
8Agropecuario1+23
9Atlanta1+13
10Almirante Brown1+13
11Chacarita Juniors1+13
12Almagro101
13Los Andes101
14Nueva Chicago101
15San Martin S.J.101
16Tristan Suarez101
17Colegiales101
18Defensores De Belgrano101
19CA Estudiantes2-11
20San Martin Tucuman2-11
21San Telmo2-31
22Gimnasia Jujuy1-10
23Racing Cordoba1-10
24Deportivo Moron1-10
25Temperley1-10
26Club Atlético Güemes1-20
27Patronato1-20
28Atletico Mitre1-30
29Ferro Carril Oeste1-30
30Gimnasia Y Tiro2-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatQuilmesSan Martin Tucuman
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Quilmes host San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional (Regular Season - 35) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Quilmes slight favourites, giving Quilmes a 46% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 26% for San Martin Tucuman. Our tip is: Quilmes or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Primera Nacional
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?

Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman in?

The match is in the Argentina Primera Nacional.

Where are Quilmes and San Martin Tucuman in the table?

Quilmes are 2nd and San Martin Tucuman are 20th in the Primera Nacional.

Who will win Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?

Our prediction is Quilmes or draw. Win probabilities: Quilmes 46%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 26%.

Will both teams score in Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera Nacional on Sat 24 Oct

FTAlmagro 1-1 Tristan Suarez2 ✗FTFerro Carril Oeste 0-3 Chaco For Ever1 ✗FTDeportivo Madryn 4-1 San Telmo1 ✓

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