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Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction

Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction for the I Liga on 15 Oct 2026: Puszcza Niepołomice or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
I Liga · Regular Season - 7
Pogoń SiedlceNo recent gamesPuszcza NiepołomiceNo recent games
1 - 3Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Match events

Pogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
  1. Yellow card: M. Marzec27'
  2. Yellow card: S. Kobusinski33'
  3. 40'Substitution: K. PrzybylkoOff: F. Szabaciuk

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: M. MarzecOff: D. Szuprytowski46'
  2. 48'Goal: A. Gjoni
  3. 51'Yellow card: O. Korczakowski
  4. Yellow card: F. Kendzia53'
  5. 57'Yellow card: O. Kocar
  6. 60'Substitution: O. GerstensteinOff: A. Trubeha
  7. 60'Substitution: O. KorczakowskiOff: M. Cholewiak
  8. Substitution: S. KobusinskiOff: N. Zielonka62'
  9. Substitution: B. PoczobutOff: R. Makowski62'
  10. 67'Goal: M. CholewiakAssist: F. Nascimento
  11. Substitution: M. RosolekOff: P. Klimek76'
  12. Substitution: J. BarczakOff: D. Jakubik76'
  13. 76'Goal: M. StrajnarAssist: M. Cholewiak
  14. Own goal: O. Kocar (og)78'
  15. 80'Yellow card: W. Kaminski
  16. 85'Substitution: A. GjoniOff: K. Iwao
  17. 85'Yellow card: A. Piekarski
  18. 85'Substitution: W. KaminskiOff: B. Kurzeja

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Puszcza Niepołomice or draw

Bet365 1.44

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Pogoń Siedlce35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Puszcza Niepołomice37%
Fair odds 2.70

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.32
0.5 goalsOver92.6%Under7.4%
1.5 goalsOver73.5%Under26.5%
2.5 goalsOver48.4%Under51.6%
3.5 goalsOver26.6%Under73.4%
4.5 goalsOver12.4%Under87.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Pogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
49%Overall51%

Last matches

Newest first
Pogoń Siedlce0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Puszcza Niepołomice0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

I Liga table

I Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1ŁKS Łódź2+26
2Ruch Chorzów1+33
3Nieciecza1+23
4Puszcza Niepołomice203
5Warta Poznań203
6Miedz Legnica101
7Polonia Warszawa101
8Podbeskidzie1-10
9Unia Skierniewice1-10
10Pogoń Siedlce1-20
11Odra Opole1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Pogoń Siedlce host Puszcza Niepołomice in the I Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Puszcza Niepołomice narrow favourites, giving Pogoń Siedlce a 35% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 37% for Puszcza Niepołomice. Our tip is: Puszcza Niepołomice or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland I Liga
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice in?

The match is in the Poland I Liga.

Where are Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce are 10th and Puszcza Niepołomice are 4th in the I Liga.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Our prediction is Puszcza Niepołomice or draw. Win probabilities: Pogoń Siedlce 35%, draw 28%, Puszcza Niepołomice 37%.

Will both teams score in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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