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TodaysPrediction

Pineto vs Gubbio prediction

Pineto vs Gubbio prediction for the Serie C - Girone B on 23 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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PinetoNo recent gamesGubbioNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto

Match events

PinetoGubbio
  1. Goal: A. Pellegrino23'
  2. 33'Yellow card: M. Pinato
  3. 34'Yellow card: E. Meconi

HT 1-0

  1. 46'Substitution: L. BaroncelliOff: A. Signorini
  2. 46'Substitution: T. GhirardelloOff: A. La Mantia
  3. 46'Substitution: M. PinatoOff: G. Rosaia
  4. Substitution: S. IencoOff: T. D'Orazio50'
  5. Substitution: G. VigliottiOff: A. Selvini57'
  6. Substitution: G. NebulosoOff: M. Oliva57'
  7. 61'Substitution: E. MeconiOff: L. Podda
  8. Substitution: R. ForteOff: A. Asmussen72'
  9. Substitution: M. SchefferOff: D. Pistillo72'
  10. 74'Yellow card: L. Podda
  11. Yellow card: T. D'Orazio81'
  12. 83'Substitution: M. SpinaOff: E. Baldini
  13. Yellow card: A. Asmussen90+4'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Pineto52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Gubbio21%
Fair odds 4.76

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.53 – 0.89
0.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
1.5 goalsOver69.6%Under30.4%
2.5 goalsOver43.6%Under56.4%
3.5 goalsOver22.5%Under77.5%
4.5 goalsOver9.8%Under90.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PinetoGubbio
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Pineto0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Gubbio0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie C - Girone B table

Serie C - Girone B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Latina1+23
2Pescara1+13
3Vado1+13
4Pineto1+13
5Grosseto101
6Livorno101
7Ostia Mare1-10
8Perugia1-10
9Gubbio1-10
10Atalanta II1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPinetoGubbio
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Pineto host Gubbio in the Serie C - Girone B (Girone B - 11) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Pineto favourites, giving Pineto a 52% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 21% for Gubbio. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie C - Girone B
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Pineto vs Gubbio?

Pineto vs Gubbio kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Pineto vs Gubbio in?

The match is in the Italy Serie C - Girone B.

Where are Pineto and Gubbio in the table?

Pineto are 4th and Gubbio are 9th in the Serie C - Girone B.

Who will win Pineto vs Gubbio?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Pineto 52%, draw 27%, Gubbio 21%.

Will both teams score in Pineto vs Gubbio?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pineto vs Gubbio?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie C - Girone B on Fri 23 Oct

FTOstia Mare 1-2 Vado1X ✗FTPerugia 1-2 PescaraX2 ✓

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