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Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC prediction

Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC prediction for the Liga 1 on 16 Oct 2026: Bhayangkara FC or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga 1 · Regular Season - 5
Persepam Madura UtdNo recent gamesBhayangkara FCNo recent games
3 - 3Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-1
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan

Match events

Persepam Madura UtdBhayangkara FC
  1. 25'Goal: J. BrenesAssist: T. Ichsan
  2. 37'Yellow card: P. Gede

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: J. SantacruzAssist: Freitas Gali51'
  2. Yellow card: Mendonca53'
  3. 60'Red card: J. Brenes
  4. Yellow card: Jaja61'
  5. 71'Goal: M. OcampoAssist: M. Sidibe
  6. Substitution: A. KusumaOff: Balotelli72'
  7. 75'Substitution: AllanoOff: M. Ristovski
  8. 75'Substitution: P. GedeOff: F. Murari
  9. 75'Substitution: T. IchsanOff: Moises Gaucho
  10. 75'Substitution: M. SidibeOff: S. Rizki
  11. Goal: BalotelliAssist: Lulinha78'
  12. Substitution: G. NumberiOff: T. Muslihuddin82'
  13. Substitution: IlhamsyahOff: R. Ray82'
  14. Goal: J. SantacruzAssist: Lulinha90'
  15. 90+2'Goal: S. RizkiAssist: M. Ristovski
  16. 90+7'Substitution: F. AndikaOff: F. Missa

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Bhayangkara FC or draw

Bet365 1.36

67%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-3

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Persepam Madura Utd33%
Fair odds 3.03
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Bhayangkara FC40%
Fair odds 2.50

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.46
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.4%Under23.6%
2.5 goalsOver52.3%Under47.7%
3.5 goalsOver30.1%Under69.9%
4.5 goalsOver14.8%Under85.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Persepam Madura UtdBhayangkara FC
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
47%Expected goals53%
45%Overall55%

Last matches

Newest first
Persepam Madura Utd0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Bhayangkara FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga 1 table

Liga 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Persepam Madura Utd2+14
2Persija1+43
3Persib Bandung203
4Bhayangkara FC101
5Persik Kediri1-10
6Arema FC1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPersepam Madura UtdBhayangkara FC
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Persepam Madura Utd host Bhayangkara FC in the Liga 1 (Regular Season - 5) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bhayangkara FC slight favourites, giving Persepam Madura Utd a 33% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 40% for Bhayangkara FC. Our tip is: Bhayangkara FC or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Indonesia Liga 1
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC in?

The match is in the Indonesia Liga 1.

Where are Persepam Madura Utd and Bhayangkara FC in the table?

Persepam Madura Utd are 1st and Bhayangkara FC are 4th in the Liga 1.

Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

Our prediction is Bhayangkara FC or draw. Win probabilities: Persepam Madura Utd 33%, draw 27%, Bhayangkara FC 40%.

Will both teams score in Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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