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Palermo vs Carrarese prediction

Palermo vs Carrarese prediction for the Serie B on 25 Oct 2026: Palermo to win (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 47/59 correct(80%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 8
PalermoNo recent gamesCarrareseNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 1-0
Renzo Barbera, Palermo

Match events

PalermoCarrarese
  1. 22'Yellow card: Luka TopalovicFoul
  2. Goal: Dennis JohnsenAssist: Hernani26'
  3. 45'Substitution: Luka TopalovicOff: G. Marconi

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Filippo·RanocchiaOff: Luca Mazzitelli61'
  2. Substitution: Jacopo SegreOff: Nahuel Estévez61'
  3. Substitution: Giangiacomo MagnaniOff: Patryk Peda65'
  4. 67'Substitution: Jacopo MartiniOff: Tommaso Rubino
  5. 68'Substitution: Gabriele parlantiOff: T. Guercio
  6. 74'Goal: Tommaso RubinoAssist: G. Marconi
  7. Goal: Dominic Vavassori80'
  8. Substitution: Joel PohjanpaloOff: Mattia Bani82'
  9. Substitution: Dominic VavassoriOff: Alessandro Gabrielloni82'
  10. 89'Substitution: Matthias BraunöderOff: Moustapha Cisse
  11. 89'Substitution: Fabio AndreaOff: Mattia Finotto
  12. 90+3'Yellow card: Filippo OlianaFoul

Our verdict

1 ✓

Palermo to win

Bet365 1.48

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Palermo64%
Fair odds 1.56
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Carrarese15%
Fair odds 6.67

Match statistics

  • 41%Possession59%
  • 1.93Expected goals (xG)1.32
  • 21Total shots15
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots7
  • 15Shots inside the box9
  • 5Corners7
  • 2Offsides1
  • 5Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 376Passes546
  • 310Accurate passes468

Line-ups

Palermo

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. PerinG
  2. 84T. CassandroD
  3. 96G. MagnaniD
  4. 32P. CeccaroniD
  5. 3T. AugelloD
  6. 8J. SegreM
  7. 10F. RanocchiaM
  8. 9D. VavassoriM
  9. 23HernaniM
  10. 17D. JohnsenM
  11. 20J. PohjanpaloF

Substitutes

  1. 12M. NespolaG
  2. 29P. PedaD
  3. 24N. EstévezM
  4. 33A. BozzolanD
  5. 13M. BaniD
  6. 14M. FortinG
  7. 99A. GabrielloniF
  8. 6C. GomesM
  9. 11E. GyasiD
  10. 36L. MazzitelliM
  11. 27N. PierozziD

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Carrarese

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1S. PizzignaccoG
  2. 13F. RuggeriD
  3. 6F. OlianaD
  4. 33F. RealeD
  5. 77G. ParlantiM
  6. 18Nicolás SchiaviM
  7. 23M. BraunöderM
  8. 28J. MartiniM
  9. 73J. RouhiM
  10. 9F. AbiusoF
  11. 17L. TopalovićF

Substitutes

  1. 32M. FinottoF
  2. 12G. GarofaniG
  3. 78Tommaso GuercioD
  4. 8Y. KhafiM
  5. 5T. MacchioniD
  6. 91G. MarconiF
  7. 30N. RavagliaG
  8. 41L. RomaniD
  9. 10T. RubinoF
  10. 20Gonçalo EstevesD
  11. 70N. CudrigF
  12. 11M. CisséF

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.12 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.1%Under18.9%
2.5 goalsOver59.2%Under40.8%
3.5 goalsOver36.8%Under63.2%
4.5 goalsOver19.7%Under80.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PalermoCarrarese
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
69%Expected goals31%
81%Overall19%

Last matches

Newest first
Palermo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Carrarese0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Pisa10+315
8Padova10-114
9Sudtirol10+114
10Hellas Verona9+312
11Cremonese10-112
12Cesena10-312
13Arezzo10-1011
14Virtus Entella10-110
15Carrarese9-110
16Juve Stabia1009
17Vicenza Virtus9-59
18Empoli10-78
19Sampdoria10-88
20Catanzaro10-116
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. ShpendiCesena108
2A. BelottiModena77
3D. JohnsenPalermo96
4D. MosqueraHellas Verona56
5F. RuoccoMantova105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPalermoCarrarese
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Palermo host Carrarese in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8) at Renzo Barbera, Palermo, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Palermo favourites, giving Palermo a 64% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 15% for Carrarese. Our tip is: Palermo to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie B
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Renzo Barbera, Palermo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo vs Carrarese kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Palermo vs Carrarese in?

The match is in the Italy Serie B.

Where are Palermo and Carrarese in the table?

Palermo are 1st and Carrarese are 15th in the Serie B.

Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?

Our prediction is Palermo to win. Win probabilities: Palermo 64%, draw 21%, Carrarese 15%.

Will both teams score in Palermo vs Carrarese?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Palermo vs Carrarese?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 25 Oct

FTHellas Verona 1-1 PisaOver 1.5 ✓

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