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TodaysPrediction

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar prediction

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar prediction for the FKF Premier League on 16 Oct 2026: Nairobi United or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Our verdict

1X

Nairobi United or draw

Bet365 1.28

72%
Expected goals2.1

Win probability

1 · Nairobi United41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw31%
Fair odds 3.23
2 · Mara Sugar28%
Fair odds 3.57

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.18 – 0.93
0.5 goalsOver87.9%Under12.1%
1.5 goalsOver62.3%Under37.7%
2.5 goalsOver35.3%Under64.7%
3.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%
4.5 goalsOver6.3%Under93.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first
Nairobi United0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mara Sugar0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FKF Premier League table

FKF Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Mara Sugar1+13
2Homeboyz1+13
3Bandari202
43K101
5AFC Leopards101
6Mombasa Elite2-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNairobi UnitedMara Sugar
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League (Regular Season - 7), with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Nairobi United slight favourites, giving Nairobi United a 41% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 28% for Mara Sugar. Our tip is: Nairobi United or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Kenya FKF Premier League
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
To be confirmed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar in?

The match is in the Kenya FKF Premier League.

Who will win Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Our prediction is Nairobi United or draw. Win probabilities: Nairobi United 41%, draw 31%, Mara Sugar 28%.

Will both teams score in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

We estimate a 35% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More FKF Premier League on Fri 16 Oct

13:00Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth1X13:00Police vs Posta Rangers FCUnder 3.513:00AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite1

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