Our verdict
Nairobi United or draw
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.18 – 0.93Half time / full time result. 1 = Nairobi United, X = draw, 2 = Mara Sugar.
Asian handicap applied to Nairobi United.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNo finished matches yet.
No finished matches yet.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | Homeboyz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 3 | Bandari | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 6 | Mombasa Elite | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Nairobi United | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League (Regular Season - 7), with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Nairobi United slight favourites, giving Nairobi United a 41% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 28% for Mara Sugar. Our tip is: Nairobi United or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Kenya FKF Premier League
- Date
- Friday, 16 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Venue
- To be confirmed
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar in?
The match is in the Kenya FKF Premier League.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
Our prediction is Nairobi United or draw. Win probabilities: Nairobi United 41%, draw 31%, Mara Sugar 28%.
Will both teams score in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
We estimate a 35% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

