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Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City prediction

Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City prediction for the Indian Super League on 19 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi

Match events

Minerva PunjabMumbai City
  1. 21'Substitution: V. Partap SinghOff: F. Choudhary
  2. Substitution: L. Rishikanta MeiteiOff: B. Sharma36'

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: V. YadavOff: G. Singh55'
  2. Yellow card: Yellow card64'
  3. 65'Penalty goal: L. Otormin (pen)
  4. 67'Substitution: L. OtorminOff: B. Lalnuntluanga
  5. 67'Substitution: B. FernandesOff: W. Jordan Gil
  6. Substitution: M. Suhail FOff: K. Sanathoi Singh77'
  7. Substitution: A. SinghOff: Diego Raposo77'
  8. 86'Substitution: P. NoufalOff: H. Jain
  9. 86'Substitution: Z. ZothanpuiaOff: A. Muhammad
  10. Goal: G. SinghAssist: K. Sanathoi Singh90'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Minerva Punjab39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Mumbai City32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 17Total shots11
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box6
  • 4Corners4
  • 2Offsides0
  • 13Fouls11
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 479Passes349
  • 386Accurate passes250
  • 81%Pass accuracy72%

Line-ups

Minerva Punjab

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Arshdeep SinghG
  2. 12Khaiminthang LhungdimD
  3. 3Bijoy VargheseD
  4. 4Nikhil PrabhuD
  5. 2Muhammed UvaisD
  6. 22Rishikanta MeiteiM
  7. 6Ricky John ShabongM
  8. 14Vishal YadavM
  9. 11Diego RaposoM
  10. 17Muhammad SuhailM
  11. 28Raphaël Messi BouliF

Substitutes

  1. 18Bishu SharmaM
  2. 91Gurkirat SinghF
  3. 99Konsam Sanathoi SinghF
  4. 40Arshvir SinghM
  5. 78Muheet ShabbirG
  6. 74Nongmeikapam MeiteiD
  7. 66Ngarin ShaizaD
  8. 27Karish SoramD
  9. 31Leon AugustineM

Mumbai City

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 23TP RehneshG
  2. 3ValpuiaD
  3. 4Lazar ĆirkovićD
  4. 5Carlos DelgadoD
  5. 31Akash MishraD
  6. 92P N NoufalM
  7. 45Zothanpuia ZothanpuiaM
  8. 8Sergio LlamasM
  9. 6Vikram Partap SinghM
  10. 20Leandro OtormínF
  11. 10Brandon FernandesF

Substitutes

  1. 7Farukh ChoudharyF
  2. 14Lalnuntluanga BawitlungM
  3. 9Wilmar JordanF
  4. 22Muhammad AjsalF
  5. 19Hridaya JainF
  6. 89Ashish SibiG
  7. 17Bijay ChhetriD
  8. 27Nathan RodriguesD
  9. 49Yuvraj KadamF

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.14
0.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
1.5 goalsOver69.8%Under30.2%
2.5 goalsOver43.8%Under56.2%
3.5 goalsOver22.8%Under77.2%
4.5 goalsOver10.0%Under90.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Minerva PunjabMumbai City
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Minerva Punjab0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mumbai City0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Indian Super League table

Indian Super League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1ATK Mohun Bagan1+13
2Minerva Punjab101
3Mumbai City101
4Chennaiyin1-10
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMinerva PunjabMumbai City
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Minerva Punjab host Mumbai City in the Indian Super League (Regular Season - 2) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Minerva Punjab narrow favourites, giving Minerva Punjab a 39% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 32% for Mumbai City. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
India Indian Super League
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City?

Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City in?

The match is in the India Indian Super League.

Where are Minerva Punjab and Mumbai City in the table?

Minerva Punjab are 2nd and Mumbai City are 3rd in the Indian Super League.

Who will win Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Minerva Punjab 39%, draw 29%, Mumbai City 32%.

Will both teams score in Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minerva Punjab vs Mumbai City?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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