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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction for the J3 League on 21 Oct 2026: Matsumoto Yamaga or Thespakusatsu Gunma (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto

Match events

Matsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
  1. Goal: K. Saso4'

HT 1-0

  1. 52'Substitution: R. FujimuraOff: T. Nakashima
  2. 53'Substitution: M. NukiOff: A. Sakurai
  3. 60'Substitution: M. Farzan SanaOff: K. Matsumoto
  4. 61'Substitution: T. ShimokawaOff: K. Kazama
  5. Substitution: S. TanakaOff: A. Inoue63'
  6. Substitution: R. SatoOff: H. Murakami67'
  7. Substitution: R. SawazakiOff: S. Kaneko67'
  8. 76'Substitution: M. HyakudaOff: T. Harada
  9. Substitution: Y. TaguchiOff: K. Fujieda87'
  10. Substitution: K. SasoOff: K. Kitazume88'
  11. Goal: K. Fujieda90+3'

Our verdict

12 ✓

Matsumoto Yamaga or Thespakusatsu Gunma

Bet365 1.22

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Matsumoto Yamaga50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Thespakusatsu Gunma25%
Fair odds 4.00

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
2.5 goalsOver52.8%Under47.2%
3.5 goalsOver30.6%Under69.4%
4.5 goalsOver15.1%Under84.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Matsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
67%Overall33%

Last matches

Newest first
Matsumoto Yamaga0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Thespakusatsu Gunma0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

J3 League table

J3 League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roasso Kumamoto1+33
2Kagoshima United1+23
3Kamatamare Sanuki1+23
4Matsumoto Yamaga1+23
5Osaka1+23
6Ehime FC1+13
7FC Gifu1+13
8Renofa Yamaguchi1-10
9Sagamihara1-10
10Kanazawa1-20
11Kochi United1-20
12Nara Club1-20
13Thespakusatsu Gunma1-20
14Gainare Tottori1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMatsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Matsumoto Yamaga host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League (Regular Season - 12) at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Matsumoto Yamaga favourites, giving Matsumoto Yamaga a 50% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 25% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. Our tip is: Matsumoto Yamaga or Thespakusatsu Gunma.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Japan J3 League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
Venue
Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma in?

The match is in the Japan J3 League.

Where are Matsumoto Yamaga and Thespakusatsu Gunma in the table?

Matsumoto Yamaga are 4th and Thespakusatsu Gunma are 13th in the J3 League.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Our prediction is Matsumoto Yamaga or Thespakusatsu Gunma. Win probabilities: Matsumoto Yamaga 50%, draw 25%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 25%.

Will both teams score in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More J3 League on Wed 21 Oct

FTKagoshima United 3-1 Kochi United1 ✓FTFC Gifu 2-1 SagamiharaOver 1.5 ✓FTEhime FC 2-1 Renofa YamaguchiOver 1.5 ✓FTOsaka 2-0 Nara ClubOver 1.5 ✓FTRoasso Kumamoto 3-0 Gainare TottoriOver 1.5 ✓FTKamatamare Sanuki 3-1 KanazawaX2 ✗

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