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TodaysPrediction

Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite prediction

Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite prediction for the FKF Premier League on 19 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Mara SugarNo recent gamesMombasa Elite
2 - 1Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 2-0

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Fair odds 1.25

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Mara Sugar54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Mombasa Elite19%
Fair odds 5.26

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.51 – 0.78
0.5 goalsOver89.9%Under10.1%
1.5 goalsOver66.7%Under33.3%
2.5 goalsOver40.1%Under59.9%
3.5 goalsOver19.9%Under80.1%
4.5 goalsOver8.3%Under91.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Mara SugarMombasa Elite
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Mara Sugar0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mombasa Elite0W 0D 1L · last 1
LMombasa Elite vs Homeboyz14 Oct 2026 · FKF Premier League0-1

FKF Premier League table

FKF Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Mara Sugar1+13
2Homeboyz1+13
3Bandari202
43K101
5AFC Leopards101
6Mombasa Elite2-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMara SugarMombasa Elite
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Mara Sugar host Mombasa Elite in the FKF Premier League (Regular Season - 2), with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 12:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mara Sugar favourites, giving Mara Sugar a 54% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 19% for Mombasa Elite. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

Mombasa Elite have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Kenya FKF Premier League
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 12:00 WAT
Venue
To be confirmed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?

Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite in?

The match is in the Kenya FKF Premier League.

Where are Mara Sugar and Mombasa Elite in the table?

Mara Sugar are 1st and Mombasa Elite are 6th in the FKF Premier League.

Who will win Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Mara Sugar 54%, draw 27%, Mombasa Elite 19%.

Will both teams score in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?

We estimate a 40% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More FKF Premier League on Mon 19 Oct

FTBandari 1-1 3KUnder 3.5 ✓

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