Our verdict
Under 3.5
Fair odds 1.25
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.51 – 0.78Half time / full time result. 1 = Mara Sugar, X = draw, 2 = Mombasa Elite.
Asian handicap applied to Mara Sugar.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNo finished matches yet.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | Homeboyz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 3 | Bandari | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 6 | Mombasa Elite | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Mara Sugar | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Mara Sugar host Mombasa Elite in the FKF Premier League (Regular Season - 2), with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 12:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Mara Sugar favourites, giving Mara Sugar a 54% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 19% for Mombasa Elite. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
Mombasa Elite have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Kenya FKF Premier League
- Date
- Monday, 19 October 2026, 12:00 WAT
- Venue
- To be confirmed
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite in?
The match is in the Kenya FKF Premier League.
Where are Mara Sugar and Mombasa Elite in the table?
Mara Sugar are 1st and Mombasa Elite are 6th in the FKF Premier League.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Mara Sugar 54%, draw 27%, Mombasa Elite 19%.
Will both teams score in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
We estimate a 40% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

