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TodaysPrediction

Lund vs Trelleborg prediction

Lund vs Trelleborg prediction for the Ettan - Södra on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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LundNo recent gamesTrelleborgNo recent games
2 - 4Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 2-1
Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund

Match events

LundTrelleborg
  1. 3'Goal: J. Christiansen
  2. 7'Yellow card: O. Sverrisson
  3. Goal: A. Wihlborg Costa30'
  4. Red card: M. Bojang38'
  5. 41'Substitution: N. BergmarkOff: B. Antonsson
  6. Goal: S. LindforsAssist: J. Strid45+3'

HT 2-1

  1. Substitution: D. T. KolleOff: I. Orajarvi46'
  2. 52'Goal: O. Gabrielsson
  3. 60'Goal: O. Gabrielsson
  4. Yellow card: Yellow card62'
  5. Substitution: S. LindforsOff: A. Mehmedagic64'
  6. 64'Substitution: K. Fosuhene AsareOff: O. Ruuska
  7. Yellow card: A. Mehmedagic68'
  8. 73'Yellow card: J. Modig
  9. Substitution: E. LindmanOff: J. Andersson78'
  10. Substitution: J. GetachewOff: D. Olofsson78'
  11. 84'Goal: O. RuuskaAssist: O. Gabrielsson
  12. Substitution: J. JacobssonOff: F. Akdemir84'
  13. 85'Substitution: J. ChristiansenOff: I. Ellbring
  14. 85'Substitution: J. GudmundssonOff: V. Karlsson
  15. 86'Red card: I. Ellbring

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-4

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Lund40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Trelleborg34%
Fair odds 2.94

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.39
0.5 goalsOver94.5%Under5.5%
1.5 goalsOver78.5%Under21.5%
2.5 goalsOver55.4%Under44.6%
3.5 goalsOver33.0%Under67.0%
4.5 goalsOver16.8%Under83.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LundTrelleborg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
Lund0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Trelleborg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ettan - Södra table

Ettan - Södra table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Trelleborg2+36
2AFC Malmo1+33
3Hässleholms IF1+13
4Utsikten1+13
5Laholm203
6Angelholms FF1-10
7Atvidabergs FF2-20
8Lund1-20
9Trollhättan1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLundTrelleborg
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Lund host Trelleborg in the Ettan - Södra (Södra - 27) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lund slight favourites, giving Lund a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Trelleborg. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Sweden Ettan - Södra
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lund vs Trelleborg?

Lund vs Trelleborg kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lund vs Trelleborg in?

The match is in the Sweden Ettan - Södra.

Where are Lund and Trelleborg in the table?

Lund are 8th and Trelleborg are 1st in the Ettan - Södra.

Who will win Lund vs Trelleborg?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lund 40%, draw 26%, Trelleborg 34%.

Will both teams score in Lund vs Trelleborg?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lund vs Trelleborg?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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