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TodaysPrediction

Livorno vs Grosseto prediction

Livorno vs Grosseto prediction for the Serie C - Girone B on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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LivornoNo recent gamesGrossetoNo recent games
4 - 4Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 2-2
Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno

Match events

LivornoGrosseto
  1. Goal: L. MalagridaAssist: M. Malotti3'
  2. 7'Goal: L. SabattiniAssist: F. Fabri
  3. Goal: L. MalagridaAssist: M. Malotti12'
  4. 30'Substitution: L. SabattiniOff: M. Gaddini
  5. Yellow card: G. Gabbiani35'
  6. Yellow card: M. Bachini42'
  7. 45+1'Goal: L. AndreoliAssist: M. Mannelli

HT 2-2

  1. Substitution: T. ArrigoniOff: A. Bacciardi46'
  2. Substitution: D. GentileOff: T. Pittino46'
  3. 52'Goal: E. Pitti
  4. Goal: M. MalottiAssist: M. Aramu54'
  5. Substitution: L. MalagridaOff: G. Morachioli65'
  6. 66'Substitution: P. FioriniOff: T. Fantacci
  7. 70'Yellow card: D. Brenna
  8. Yellow card: F. Veseli72'
  9. Yellow card: N. Haas74'
  10. 75'Goal: T. FantacciAssist: L. Gori
  11. Substitution: M. AramuOff: T. Mancini77'
  12. Substitution: G. GabbianiOff: C. Badoro85'
  13. 85'Substitution: F. FabriOff: F. Cerretelli
  14. 85'Substitution: L. AndreoliOff: M. Fiorani
  15. 86'Substitution: M. MannelliOff: A. Montini
  16. Goal: T. ManciniAssist: A. Bacciardi88'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-4

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Livorno49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Grosseto25%
Fair odds 4.00

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.2%Under23.8%
2.5 goalsOver52.1%Under47.9%
3.5 goalsOver29.9%Under70.1%
4.5 goalsOver14.6%Under85.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LivornoGrosseto
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
66%Overall34%

Last matches

Newest first
Livorno0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Grosseto0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie C - Girone B table

Serie C - Girone B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Latina1+23
2Pescara1+13
3Vado1+13
4Pineto1+13
5Grosseto101
6Livorno101
7Ostia Mare1-10
8Perugia1-10
9Gubbio1-10
10Atalanta II1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLivornoGrosseto
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Livorno host Grosseto in the Serie C - Girone B (Girone B - 10) at Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Livorno slight favourites, giving Livorno a 49% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 25% for Grosseto. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie C - Girone B
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Livorno vs Grosseto?

Livorno vs Grosseto kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Livorno vs Grosseto in?

The match is in the Italy Serie C - Girone B.

Where are Livorno and Grosseto in the table?

Livorno are 6th and Grosseto are 5th in the Serie C - Girone B.

Who will win Livorno vs Grosseto?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Livorno 49%, draw 26%, Grosseto 25%.

Will both teams score in Livorno vs Grosseto?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Livorno vs Grosseto?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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