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Leganes vs Cordoba prediction

Leganes vs Cordoba prediction for the Segunda División on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
LeganesNo recent gamesCordobaNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-0
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes

Match events

LeganesCordoba

    HT 0-0

    1. Substitution: Patrick SokoOff: Álvaro Morata63'
    2. Substitution: Naim GarciaOff: Enric Franquesa63'
    3. Substitution: Ismael GharbiOff: Dani Rodriguez63'
    4. Yellow card: Álvaro MorataFoul70'
    5. 71'Substitution: Diego PercanOff: Victor Sánchez Morales
    6. Yellow card: Álex MillánDissent71'
    7. Yellow card: Yassine KechtaFoul72'
    8. 76'Yellow card: Álex MartínFoul
    9. 78'Substitution: Salim El JebariOff: Diego Bri
    10. Substitution: Rubén PeñaOff: Álvaro Tejero82'
    11. Substitution: Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezOff: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed82'
    12. 83'Goal: Eder GarciaAssist: Cristian Carracedo
    13. 89'Yellow card: Victor Sánchez MoralesFoul
    14. 90'Substitution: Eder GarciaOff: Théo Zidane
    15. 90'Substitution: Carlos AlbarranOff: Cristian Carracedo
    16. 90'Substitution: Adnane Ghailan BenktibOff: Damián Cáceres Rodríguez
    17. Red card: Álvaro Morata90+1'

    Our verdict

    Over 1.5 ✗

    Over 1.5

    Bet365 1.25

    77%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

    Expected goals2.8

    Win probability

    1 · Leganes39%
    Fair odds 2.56
    X · Draw27%
    Fair odds 3.70
    2 · Cordoba34%
    Fair odds 2.94

    Match statistics

    • 42%Possession58%
    • 0.82Expected goals (xG)2.11
    • 9Total shots20
    • 2Shots on target3
    • 4Shots off target10
    • 3Blocked shots7
    • 7Shots inside the box14
    • 4Corners7
    • 1Offsides3
    • 15Fouls15
    • 2Yellow cards2
    • 1Red cards0
    • 2Goalkeeper saves2
    • 315Passes434
    • 242Accurate passes366

    Line-ups

    Leganes

    3-4-2-1

    Starting XI

    1. 13L. ZidaneG
    2. 4Rubén PulidoD
    3. 5Ignasi MiquelD
    4. 3Javi MonteroD
    5. 23Álvaro TejeroM
    6. 8Y. KechtaM
    7. 10Z. BuurmeesterM
    8. 11Naim GarcíaM
    9. 22Álex SancrisM
    10. 17Ismaël GharbiM
    11. 19P. SokoF

    Substitutes

    1. 18Andrés CamposF
    2. 9Álex MillánF
    3. 6Lalo AguilarD
    4. 24A. DiawaraM
    5. 32Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedF
    6. 1Raúl FernándezG
    7. 15Enric FranquesaD
    8. 31Nico LozanoG
    9. 21Álvaro MorataF
    10. 7Rubén PeñaD
    11. 14Dani RodríguezM
    12. 16U. del CuraF

    Coach: Rubén Albés

    Cordoba

    4-3-3

    Starting XI

    1. 1Iker ÁlvarezG
    2. 30Daniel BudescaD
    3. 5Juan GutiérrezD
    4. 4Álex MartínD
    5. 3Dani TasendeD
    6. 28Eder GarcíaM
    7. 8Isma RuizM
    8. 14Adnane GhailanM
    9. 23Cristian CarracedoF
    10. 9PercanF
    11. 11Diego BriF

    Substitutes

    1. 21Carlos AlbarránD
    2. 6D. CaceresM
    3. 24S. El JebariF
    4. 38Borja García CriadoM
    5. 16Rubén AlvesD
    6. 20Nélson MonteD
    7. 27Egoitz MuñozD
    8. 18Enol RodríguezF
    9. 19Ibai SanzF
    10. 13Guilherme FernandesG
    11. 15V. SanchezF
    12. 7T. ZidaneM

    Coach: Iván Ania

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.42 – 1.33
    0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
    1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
    2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
    3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
    4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    LeganesCordoba
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    52%Expected goals48%
    53%Overall47%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Leganes0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Cordoba0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Segunda División table

    Segunda División table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Castellón12+1827
    2Almeria12+1326
    3Eibar12+723
    4Granada CF12+623
    5Sporting Gijon12022
    6Girona12+1121
    7Burgos12+421
    8Mallorca11+719
    9Oviedo11+318
    10Sabadell12+117
    11Cordoba12-316
    12Tenerife11-214
    13Eldense12-414
    14Las Palmas11-514
    15Celta de Vigo II12-513
    16Valladolid11012
    17Leganes11-912
    18Real Sociedad II12-711
    19Cadiz11010
    20FC Andorra11-510
    21Albacete12-137
    22AD Ceuta FC12-175
    See full table ›

    Top scorers

    Segunda División top scorers
    #PlayerMGoals
    1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
    2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
    3Enric GallegoTenerife107
    4Israel SueroCastellón106
    5FuentesMallorca116

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatLeganesCordoba
    Played00
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Match preview

    Leganes host Cordoba in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Leganes narrow favourites, giving Leganes a 39% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 34% for Cordoba. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Spain Segunda División
    Date
    Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
    Venue
    Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Leganes vs Cordoba?

    Leganes vs Cordoba kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Leganes vs Cordoba in?

    The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

    Where are Leganes and Cordoba in the table?

    Leganes are 17th and Cordoba are 11th in the Segunda División.

    Who will win Leganes vs Cordoba?

    Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Leganes 39%, draw 27%, Cordoba 34%.

    Will both teams score in Leganes vs Cordoba?

    We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leganes vs Cordoba?

    We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    All football predictions for today