Premiership · Regular Season - 14
Match events
Portadown- 18'Yellow card: G. Thompson
- Yellow card: C. McKendry19'
- 19'Yellow card: Yellow card
- 28'Substitution: G. ThompsonOff: F. Flanagan
- 32'Yellow card: M. Carson
HT 0-0
- Substitution: C. McKendryOff: M. Lusty46'
- Yellow card: S. Graham51'
- 69'Yellow card: Yellow card
- Yellow card: M. Lusty70'
- Substitution: P. O'NeillOff: M. Randall70'
- Substitution: R. DohertyOff: D. Sloan70'
- Substitution: J. SimpsonOff: K. O'Hara70'
- Substitution: C. GallagherOff: L. Millar79'
- Goal: K. O'Hara82'
- 84'Substitution: L. ChapmanOff: C. Falls
Our verdict
Larne to win
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.46 – 0.70Half time / full time result. 1 = Larne, X = draw, 2 = Portadown.
Asian handicap applied to Larne.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPremiership table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Larne | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 2 | Coleraine FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 3 | Linfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 5 | Bangor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | Glentoran | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | |
| 10 | Ballymena United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 | Portadown | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Larne | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/2 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Larne host Portadown in the Premiership (Regular Season - 14) at Inver Park, Larne, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Larne clear favourites, giving Larne a 76% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 8% for Portadown. Our tip is: Larne to win.
Larne have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Portadown have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 46% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Northern Ireland Premiership
- Date
- Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Venue
- Inver Park, Larne
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Larne vs Portadown?
Larne vs Portadown kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Larne vs Portadown in?
The match is in the Northern Ireland Premiership.
Where are Larne and Portadown in the table?
Larne are 1st and Portadown are 11th in the Premiership.
Who will win Larne vs Portadown?
Our prediction is Larne to win. Win probabilities: Larne 76%, draw 16%, Portadown 8%.
Will both teams score in Larne vs Portadown?
We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Larne vs Portadown?
We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.