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KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction

KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction for the Jupiler Pro League on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (81%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
KV MechelenNo recent gamesGenkNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen

Match events

KV MechelenGenk
  1. Yellow card: M. DecherfFoul2'
  2. Yellow card: F. VanderbiestUnsportsmanlike conduct3'
  3. 10'Yellow card: N. Adedeji-SternbergFoul
  4. Goal: S. MichezAssist: M. Decherf22'
  5. Yellow card: K. CorbanieFoul24'

HT 1-0

  1. 46'Substitution: N. Adedeji-SternbergOff: A. Yokoyama
  2. 63'Substitution: J. ItoOff: A. Bibout
  3. Substitution: M. Lohunanu-MbasiOff: D. Praet64'
  4. 67'Yellow card: K. AmaroUnsportsmanlike conduct
  5. 68'Yellow card: M. RoganovicUnsportsmanlike conduct
  6. Substitution: S. MichezOff: M. Decoene75'
  7. Yellow card: F. VanderbiestUnsportsmanlike conduct75'
  8. 79'Substitution: K. AmaroOff: Y. Medina
  9. 80'Substitution: B. TahirovicOff: A. De Wannemacker
  10. Substitution: B. RamanOff: C. Van Meirvenne85'
  11. 88'Yellow card: M. SmetsFoul
  12. 90+4'Yellow card: B. HeynenUnsportsmanlike conduct
  13. 90+5'Yellow card: Y. MedinaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

81%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · KV Mechelen26%
Fair odds 3.85
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Genk49%
Fair odds 2.04

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 0.31Expected goals (xG)1.58
  • 8Total shots16
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 4Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 4Shots inside the box14
  • 3Corners7
  • 1Offsides2
  • 12Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 5Goalkeeper saves2
  • 323Passes392
  • 248Accurate passes329
  • 77%Pass accuracy84%

Line-ups

KV Mechelen

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Ortwin De WolfG
  2. 20Kobe CorbanieD
  3. 2Luc MarijnissenD
  4. 3José MarsàD
  5. 23Simion MichezM
  6. 6Fredrik HammarM
  7. 30Marco DecherfM
  8. 7Thérence KoudouM
  9. 9Myron Van BrederodeF
  10. 14Benito RamanF
  11. 19Malcolm Lohunanu-MbasiF

Substitutes

  1. 32Tijn Van IngelgomG
  2. 39Massimo DecoeneM
  3. 4Gora DioufD
  4. 17Cedric Jan Van MeirvenneF
  5. 26Dennis PraetM
  6. 10Maxim KireevM
  7. 11Bilal BafdiliM
  8. 21Halil ÖzdemirF
  9. 29Bill AntonioF

Genk

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 28Lucca BrughmansG
  2. 20Kevin AmaroD
  3. 6Matte SmetsD
  4. 44Josue Ndenge KongoloD
  5. 18Joris KayembeD
  6. 4Benjamin TahirovićM
  7. 8Bryan HeynenM
  8. 10Junya ItoM
  9. 11Jeppe ErenbjergM
  10. 32Noah Adedeji-SternbergM
  11. 17Rafiu DurosinmiF

Substitutes

  1. 30Ayumu YokoyamaF
  2. 1Tobe LeysenG
  3. 19Yaimar MedinaD
  4. 25Milan RoganovićD
  5. 5Christiaan RavychD
  6. 24Nikolas SattlbergerM
  7. 21Ibrahima Sory BangouraM
  8. 56August De WannemackerM
  9. 23Aaron BiboutF

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.77
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.2%Under19.8%
2.5 goalsOver57.9%Under42.1%
3.5 goalsOver35.5%Under64.5%
4.5 goalsOver18.6%Under81.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

KV MechelenGenk
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
41%Expected goals59%
35%Overall65%

Last matches

Newest first
KV Mechelen0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Genk0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Jupiler Pro League table

Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
11Antwerp10-610
12SK Beveren10-710
13OH Leuven10-79
14KV Mechelen9-79
15St. Truiden10-38
16RAAL La Louvière10-107
17Cercle Brugge10-96
18Kortrijk9-164
See full table ›

Top scorers

Jupiler Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV108
2N. BassetteKVC Westerlo107
3R. DurosinmiGenk106
4R. FloruczUnion St. Gilloise105
5M. UbandomaRAAL La Louvière95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKV MechelenGenk
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

KV Mechelen host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 10) at Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Genk slight favourites, giving KV Mechelen a 26% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 49% for Genk. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Belgium Jupiler Pro League
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is KV Mechelen vs Genk?

KV Mechelen vs Genk kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is KV Mechelen vs Genk in?

The match is in the Belgium Jupiler Pro League.

Where are KV Mechelen and Genk in the table?

KV Mechelen are 14th and Genk are 6th in the Jupiler Pro League.

Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: KV Mechelen 26%, draw 25%, Genk 49%.

Will both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Genk?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in KV Mechelen vs Genk?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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